In 2017 my
Website was migrated to the clouds and reduced in size.
Hence some links below are broken.
Contact me at
rjensen@trinity.edu if you really need to file that is missing.
Tidbits on July 23, 2009
Bob Jensen
Another sunset in the White Mountains
Thus far there's been no summer since one
day in May. But the forecast for
next weekend is for temperatures that may reach 70 degrees up here.
I might even turn on my air conditioner for the second time this summer.
Erika's terribly upset.
When she sees nasty crows/ravens perched around our little pond
She runs to the side door and yells and throws rocks at them
(worse than she yells and throws rocks at me).
But her efforts were in vain.
There are no more sweet-singing frogs in our pond.
The crows/ravens flew off with big green frogs dangling from ugly beaks.
All we have left is over 1,000 tadpole orphans.
Our little pond has a waterfall.
But since it freezes solid in the winter there are no fish.
Below is a picture taken two summers ago.
On the left is my daughter's husband Chuck
Dr. Charles Moody is a microbiology professor at the University of Maine
Erika was wearing a back brace that summer.
To Erika's left is our daughter Lisl Moody.
Lisl teaches biology at Hampden Academy in Maine.
The little guy is our grandson CJ who's great in school, sports, and the guitar
In front is granddaughter Hilary
She's a power swimmer and in condition beyond imagination.
Hillary enrolled in a six-year pharmacy school in Boston
September 2009 begins her first adventure away from home.
I gave the world a break by not being in the picture.
Below is the south wall of our living room.
The fake window only separates the room from an outer hallway
The fireplace has a propane-fed iron stove.
For me wood fireplaces are a pain in the tail.
They're hard to feed, hard to clean, and hard to control for temperature.
Our black iron stove operates off of a thermostat.
But since this stove is surrounded by windows, our solar heat pretty much
suffices even on cold days.
Of course we also have a furnace to call upon when needed.
Our other three fireplace stoves are white porcelain.
Below you can envision another season
(April) up here.
Just for laughs I will throw in some
pictures sent to me that I did not take.
All the Women I Loved Before Slide Show ---
Click Here
U.S. Debt/Deficit Clock ---
http://www.usdebtclock.org/
Tidbits on July 23, 2009
Bob Jensen
For earlier editions of Tidbits go to
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/TidbitsDirectory.htm
For earlier editions of New Bookmarks go to
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/bookurl.htm
Click here to search Bob Jensen's web site if you have key words to enter ---
Search Site.
For example if you want to know what Jensen documents have the term "Enron"
enter the phrase Jensen AND Enron. Another search engine that covers Trinity and
other universities is at
http://www.searchedu.com/.
Bob Jensen's past presentations and lectures
---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/resume.htm#Presentations
Bob Jensen's Threads ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/threads.htm
Bob Jensen's Home Page is at
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/
CPA
Examination ---
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cpa_examination
Cool Search Engines That Are Not
Google ---
http://www.wired.com/epicenter/2009/06/coolsearchengines
World Clock and World Facts ---
http://www.poodwaddle.com/worldclock.swf
U.S. Debt/Deficit Clock ---
http://www.usdebtclock.org/
Free Residential and Business Telephone Directory (you must listen to an
opening advertisement) --- dial 800-FREE411 or 800-373-3411
Free Online Telephone Directory ---
http://snipurl.com/411directory [www_public-records-now_com]
Free online 800 telephone numbers ---
http://www.tollfree.att.net/tf.html
Google Free Business Phone Directory --- 800-goog411
To find names addresses from listed phone numbers, go to
www.google.com and read in the phone number without spaces, dashes, or
parens
Cool Search Engines That Are Not
Google ---
http://www.wired.com/epicenter/2009/06/coolsearchengines
Bob Jensen's search helpers ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Searchh.htm
Education Technology Search ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/000aaa/0000start.htm
Distance Education Search ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/crossborder.htm
Search for Listservs, Blogs, and Social Networks ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/ListservRoles.htm
Bob Jensen's essay on the financial crisis bailout's aftermath and an alphabet soup of
appendices can be found at
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/2008Bailout.htm
Free Online Textbooks, Videos, and Tutorials ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/ElectronicLiterature.htm#Textbooks
Free Tutorials in Various Disciplines ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Bookbob2.htm#Tutorials
Edutainment and Learning Games ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/000aaa/thetools.htm#Edutainment
Open Sharing Courses ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/000aaa/updateee.htm#OKI
The Master List of Free
Online College Courses ---
http://universitiesandcolleges.org/
"Microsoft Office to Go Online for Free," Fortune, July 13,
2009 ---
Click Here
Also see
http://www.technologyreview.com/blog/editors/23838/?nlid=2174
This will not be the full-featured version of Office that you can purchase, but
it will compete head on with Google Office.
Free Alternatives to/for MS Office (Word,
Excel, PowerPoint, etc.) ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Bookbob4.htm#MSofficeAlternatives
Also see
http://reviews.zdnet.co.uk/software/productivity/0,1000001108,39674807,00.htm
Unfortunately none of
the free alternatives to MS Office will have all the new and supposedly
wonderful features of the 2010 Version of MS Office
Richard Campbell forwarded this link describing the new features
to look forward to with the MS Office 2010 ---
http://download.cnet.com/8301-2007_4-10284013-12.html?tag=smallC
Also see
http://reviews.zdnet.co.uk/software/productivity/0,1000001108,39674807,00.htm
On May 14, 2006 I retired from Trinity University after a long
and wonderful career as an accounting professor in four universities. I was
generously granted "Emeritus" status by the Trustees of Trinity University. My
wife and I now live in a cottage in the White Mountains of New Hampshire ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/NHcottage/NHcottage.htm
Bob Jensen's blogs and various threads on many topics ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/threads.htm
(Also scroll down to the table at
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/ )
Global Incident Map ---
http://www.globalincidentmap.com/home.php
If you want to help our badly injured troops, please check out
Valour-IT: Voice-Activated Laptops for Our Injured Troops ---
http://www.valour-it.blogspot.com/
Free Online Textbooks, Videos, and Tutorials ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/ElectronicLiterature.htm#Textbooks
Free Tutorials in Various Disciplines ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Bookbob2.htm#Tutorials
Edutainment and Learning Games ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/000aaa/thetools.htm#Edutainment
Open Sharing Courses ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/000aaa/updateee.htm#OKI
Online Video, Slide Shows, and Audio
In the past I've provided links to various types of music and video available
free on the Web.
I created a page that summarizes those various links ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/music.htm
First Episode of Fawlty Towers ---
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ADxkviq_WS4
John Cleese as a Chartered Accountant and Lion Tamer ---
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XMOmB1q8W4Y
Also see ---
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4h-wVe9a6rQ&NR=1
Bill Gates purchased the rights to lectures by Richard Feynman
and has initially made seven of them available free at
http://research.microsoft.com/apps/tools/tuva/index.html
The catch is that you must install the Microsoft Silverlight browser add on (at
no charge).
Richard Feynman is a very famous physicist ---
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Richard_Feynman
Video
Senator Barbara Boxer Accused Of Race-Baiting At Energy Hearing
In fairness it seems he may be baiting her with a lot of "Ma'ams" that irritate
her to a fault---
http://www.businessinsider.com/senator-barbara-boxer-accused-of-race-baiting-at-energy-hearing-2009-7
Also available at
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FE_jGD5nZ6U&feature=player_embedded
Laboratory Technique Videos ---
http://www.chem.ualberta.ca/~orglabs/Techniques.html
American Exceptionalism that Irks the ACLU (from a professor
of political science) ---
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Nn4IH3yng4k
News Busted (Humor?) ---
http://www.thehopeforamerica.com/play.php?id=1454
Inspiration: Games Versus Teachers
"Creator of 'The Sims' Talks Educational Gaming," Chronicle of Higher
Education, July 14, 2009 ---
http://chronicle.com/media/video/v55/i41.5/wright/?utm_source=at&utm_medium=en
Introduction to (video) Game Design 2009 ---
http://pod.gscept.com/intro2gd2009.xml
Bob Jensen's threads on networked learning simulations ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/000aaa/thetools.htm#Simulation
Bob Jensen's threads on edutainment and learning games ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/000aaa/thetools.htm#Edutainment
Bob Jensen's threads on virtual worlds in education are at
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/000aaa/thetools.htm#SecondLife
Free music downloads ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/music.htm
Trivia Question
Who preceded Jo Ann Castle as Lawrence Welk's ragtime and boogie woogie piano
player?
Answer
Big Tiny Little
Some of Jo Ann Castle's Ragtime and Boogie
Piano Videos
My what big hands she has ---
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=saqskTrAQ3Q&feature=PlayList&p=907D9AA761C82A65&index=8
Red Hot Jazz Archive ---
http://www.redhotjazz.com/
Web outfits like
Pandora, Foneshow, Stitcher, and Slacker broadcast portable and mobile content
that makes Sirius look overpriced and stodgy ---
http://www.businessweek.com/technology/content/mar2009/tc20090327_877363.htm?link_position=link2
TheRadio (my favorite commercial-free
online music site) ---
http://www.theradio.com/
Slacker (my second-favorite commercial-free online music site) ---
http://www.slacker.com/
Gerald Trites likes this
international radio site ---
http://www.e-radio.gr/
Songza:
Search for a song or band and play the selection ---
http://songza.com/
Also try Jango ---
http://www.jango.com/?r=342376581
Sometimes this old guy prefers the jukebox era (just let it play through) ---
http://www.tropicalglen.com/
And I listen quite often to Soldiers Radio Live ---
http://www.army.mil/fieldband/pages/listening/bandstand.html
Also note U.S. Army Band recordings
---
http://bands.army.mil/music/default.asp
Bob Jensen listens to music free online (and no commercials)
---
http://www.slacker.com/
Photographs and Art
Los Angeles County Museum of Art: Art New Media
(multimedia) ---
http://www.lacma.org/art/webindex.aspx
Philadelphia Museum of Art: Conservation ---
http://www.philamuseum.org/conservation/
Photo Captures Marine Escaping Enormous Afghan
Blast That Killed His Comrades ---
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,532746,00.html?loomia_ow=t0:s0:a16:g4:r4:c0.000000:b-2:z0
The U.S. is not allowed by treaty to use land mines and IED devices that are
killing and maiming its soldiers. The U.S. could probably end the Afghan war in
a New York minute by mining the mountain trails to Pakistan that serve as
logistic lines for the Taliban.
USA Buys Russia’s Su-27 Jets From Ukraine to Find Out Why
Our F-15
Is So Bad
The Pentagon purchased two Russian-made Su-27 fighter
jets from Ukraine. The United States will reportedly use the Russian jets to
train effective counter-operation efforts. The Russian jets are a serious
competition for the US F-15 fighters. The jets of Russia’s renowned Sukhoi
design bureau proved to be more successful than their US competitors during a
number of tests. The Pentagon has been trying to obtain the Russian warplanes,
and Ukraine helped the nation do it legally. The news about the deal between the
USA and the Air Force of Ukraine appeared on the US-based website
Strategypage.com.
Pravda, July 21, 2009 ---
http://english.pravda.ru/world/americas/20-07-2009/108253-su27-0
President Obama intended to veto the F-22A until
the Senate killed its chances on July 21, 2009
USAF Photo of the Day: An F-22A Raptor--USA's
cutting-edge fighter--pops flares over Kadena Air Base ---
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2292971/posts
Videos
Maybe President Obama was correct in threatening
to veto the F-22A Raptor
WITH a price tag above $350 million per plane, the F-22
fighter requires at least 30 hours of maintenance for every hour it flies.
(Insider scuttlebutt insists it actually needs 60 hours of repairs for every
hour it operates.) That's worse than the MG I had back in college. Pilots call
high-maintenance aircraft "hangar queens." Well, the F-22's a hangar empress.
After three expensive decades in development, the plane meets fewer than
one-third of its specified requirements. But defense giant Lockheed Martin's
immense clout on the Hill threatens to force you, the taxpayer, to buy still
more of these pieces...
Ralph Peters, "CAN'T FLY, WON'T DIE: THE F-22 IS ARMORED IN PORK," New York
Post, July 17, 2009 ---
http://www.nypost.com/seven/07172009/postopinion/opedcolumnists/cant_fly__wont_die_179681.htm
John McCain called it "costly junk."
The aging and decrepit Senator Byrd returned to the Senate intent on making
Byrds fly and F-22s crash ---
Click Here
SAY WHAT? Peacenik California Sens. Dianne Feinstein and Barbara Boxer voted for
F-22s
This just proves what's most important about defense spending!
Mysterious, Glowing Clouds Appear Across America’s Night Skies
---
http://www.wired.com/wiredscience/2009/07/nightclouds/
The Ruins of Detroit ---
http://www.white-history.com/hwrdet.htm
But GM is spending $15 billion for a new factory in Brazil
Families desperate to escape the heat grabbed their rubber
rings to jostle for space at a local pool in Nanjing, the capital of the Jiangsu
Province. ---
Click Here
Sorry Whoppie ---
Click Here
National Geographic debunks your moon landing fakery allegations ---
http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2009/07/photogalleries/apollo-moon-landing-hoax-pictures/index.html
Bob Jensen's threads on history, literature and art ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Bookbob2.htm#History
Online Books, Poems, References, and Other Literature
In the past I've provided links to various
types electronic literature available free on the Web.
I created a page that summarizes those various links ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/ElectronicLiterature.htm
National Book Critics Circle ---
http://bookcritics.org/
Free Online Textbooks, Videos, and Tutorials ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/ElectronicLiterature.htm#Textbooks
Free Tutorials in Various Disciplines ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Bookbob2.htm#Tutorials
Edutainment and Learning Games ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/000aaa/thetools.htm#Edutainment
Open Sharing Courses ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/000aaa/updateee.htm#OKI
There are many, many South Park cartoon episodes on YouTube. However, I
could only find the Risky Banks cartoon in the Financial Rounds Blog ---
http://financialrounds.blogspot.com/
Scroll down to July 21, 2009 for the Risky Banks video.
New Hampshire uses $350M in stimulus money to create 50 new jobs (not
humor?)
New Hampshire has received $ 350 million in economic
stimulus money. As a result, according to the radio, NH has created a grand
total of 50 (fifty) new jobs, and 34 of THOSE are auditors for the stimulus
program!
WTTK-FM, July 14, 2009
This isn’t a recession. This is collapse.
Washington is bluffing that it will not bail out
California, and every other state suffering from collapsed revenues and massive
job losses. If cuts in police and schools don’t force DC off from its current
position, then the math will. Because in many states the aggregate revenue
losses and looming cuts to state payrolls will largely render the intended
effects of federal stimulus as moot. Frankly, unless Washington prints money and
bails out every state that needs capital, including California, federal power
will decline amidst this severe economic recession, and the process of a soft
American devolution will begin. If you think this idea is outrageous, then
you’ve still not come to terms with a core reality of our current situation: the
structure of this financial crisis is wholly different than any in our post-war
era. This isn’t a recession. This is
collapse.
Gregor Macdonald, "Washington's
Dilemma: This Isn't a Recession, It's a Collapse," Seeking Alpha, July
14, 2009 ---
http://seekingalpha.com/article/148526-washington-s-dilemma-this-isn-t-a-recession-it-s-a-collapse?source=email
Economists Did Not Change With the Times
History is messy and constantly changing, as Ferguson
reminds. It depends on institutions, technologies, laws, cultural and religious
values, governments, popular beliefs and much more. Model-building and
theorizing can sometimes simplify the real world in ways that provide insights.
But often, the models' assumptions depart so radically from reality that the
conclusions become useless. Someone who studies history becomes humble in the
face of the ceaseless changes and capricious mixing of motives. Economists
thought they had solved the problem of economic stability. Their tools sufficed
to prevent widespread economic collapse, even if they couldn't control every
twist in the business cycle. This conceit may have once been true. No more.
Markets became more complex; more money crossed national borders; people became
complacent. History moved on, but economists didn't.
Robert Samuelson, "Economists Out to
Lunch," American Issues Project, July 6, 2009 ---
ClickHere
The economics profession is suffering from guilt and
rancour. In a recent lecture, Paul Krugman, winner of the Nobel prize in
economics in 2008, argued that much of the past 30 yers of macroeconomics was
"spectacularly useless at best, andpositively harmful at worst." Barry
Eichengree, a prominent American economic historian, says the crisis has "cast
into doubt much of what we thought we knew about economics."
"What Went Wrong With Economics?" The Economist,
July 18-24, 2009, Page 11.
And if economics, as a braod discipline deserves a
robust defence, so does the free-market paradigm. Too many people, especially in
Europe, equate mistakes made by economists with a failure of economic
liberalism. Their logic seems to be that if economists got things wrong, then
politicians will do better. That is a false --- and dangerous --- concluseion.
"What Went Wrong With Economics?" The Economist,
July 18-24, 2009, Page 11
"The Obsolete New York Model: Where a tax-eating
majority votes itself a permanent income," by Myron Magnet, New York's Tomorrow,
July 2009 ---
http://city-journal.org/2009/nytom_taxes.html
Jensen Comment
This is a great and concise historical piece that zings in famous philosophers
and economists. Good work.
Were California a corporation, rather than a state,
its officers would be playing tiddlywinks with Bernie Madoff in the federal
slammer, having engaged in years of hide-the-pea accounting tricks,
under-the-table loans and other gimmicks to cover up the state's perpetual
operating deficits.
Dan Walters, "Another Tricky Budget
Devised for California," Sacramento Bee, July 21, 2009 ---
http://www.sacbee.com/walters/story/2041808.html
On present trends, most of Europe will soon have
lower income tax rates than most of America. And now the European Union is
stealing another competitive march on Washington, this time on a free trade deal
with the world's 13th largest economy, fast-growing South Korea. Last week
Brussels and Seoul finished the outline of a new trade agreement, and the two
sides will now write up the technical language to codify it. As for the pending
U.S.-Korea trade agreement, Congress has done . . . nothing.
"Europe Thumps U.S., Again First lower taxes, now freer trade,"
The Wall Street Journal, July 20, 2009 ---
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124804400627663427.html
Merrill Lynch had a friend in Hank Paulson, but he was no friend to Bank
of America shareholders
The ex-US Treasury Secretary has admitted telling the
Bank of America boss he might lose his job if he walked away from a merger from
Merrill Lynch. The former US Treasury Secretary says the merger was necessary
Hank Paulson warned the bank's chief executive Kenneth Lewis that the Federal
Reserve could oust him and the board if the rescue did not proceed. But Mr
Paulson insisted that remarks he made were "appropriate". Bank of America bought
Merrill during the height of the financial crisis and suffered severe losses.
"Paulson admits bank merger threat," BBC News, July 15,
2009 ---
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/8152858.stm
Jensen Comment
Paulson's claim that his threats were "appropriate" comes as little comfort to
Bank of America shareholders who lost their life savings because of the threats.
Thain Pain: Merrill Lynch Bonuses of Over $1 Million to 696
Executives
Rewarded for making their company so profitable for shareholders? (Barf Alert!)
Merrill Lynch quietly paid out at least one million
dollars bonus each to about 700 top executive even when the investment house was
bleeding with losses last year, a probe has revealed. They were part of 3.6
billion dollars in the firm's bonus payments in December before the announcement
of its fourth quarterly losses and takeover by Bank of America, the
investigation by the New York state Attorney General's office showed. "696
individuals received bonuses of one million dollars or more," New York Attorney
General Andrew Cuomo said of the Merrill scandal in a letter to a lawmaker
heading the House of Representatives financial services committee.
"Merrill bonuses made 696 millionaires: probe," Yahoo News,
February 11, 2009 ---
http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20090211/bs_afp/usbankingjusticeprobecompanymerrillbofa_20090211201133
Taxes Must Increase On Average (for everybody) Nearly 50% to Balance the
Federal Budget
(that does not include added taxes for universal health care and carbon
capping legislation trillion dollar costs)
(that does not include added taxes for unbalanced state budgets)
And if you think high taxes are bad, wait until you experience Zimbabwe-like
inflation?
"The Real Era of Big Government," by Robert Samuelson, American Issues
Project, July 13, 2009 ---
Click Here
The question that President Obama ought to
be asking -- that we all should be asking -- is this: How big a government
do we want? Without anyone much noticing, our national government is on the
verge of a permanent expansion that would endure long after the present
economic crisis has (presumably) passed and that would exceed anything ever
experienced in peacetime. This expansion may not be good for us, but we are
not contemplating the adverse consequences or how we might minimize them.
We face an unprecedented collision between
Americans' desire for more government services and their almost-equal
unwillingness to be taxed. The conflict is obscured and deferred by today's
depressed economy, which has given license to all manner of emergency
programs, but its dimensions cannot be doubted. A new report from the
Congressional Budget Office ("The Long-Term Budget Outlook") makes that
crystal clear. The easiest way to measure the size of government is to
compare the federal budget to the overall economy, or gross domestic product
(GDP). The CBO's estimates are daunting.
For the past half-century, federal
spending has averaged about 20 percent of GDP, federal taxes about 18
percent of GDP, and the budget deficit 2 percent of GDP. The CBO's
projection for 2020 -- which assumes the economy has returned to "full
employment" -- puts spending at 26 percent of GDP, taxes at a bit less than
19 percent of GDP, and a deficit above 7 percent of GDP. Future spending and
deficit figures continue to grow.
What this means is that balancing the
budget in 2020 would require a tax increase of almost 50 percent from the
last half-century's average. Remember, that average was 18 percent of GDP.
To get from there to 26 percent of GDP (spending in 2020) would require
another 8 percent of GDP in taxes. In today's dollars, that would be about
$1.1 trillion, a 44 percent annual tax increase. Even these figures may be
optimistic, because CBO's projections for defense and "nondefense
discretionary" spending may be unrealistically low. This last category
covers much of what government does: environmental regulation, aid to
education, highway construction, law enforcement, homeland security.
Whatever the case, the major causes of the
budget blowout are well-known: an aging population and rapid increases in
health spending. In 2000, Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid -- the main
programs providing income and health care for the 65 and over population --
totaled nearly 8 percent of GDP. In 2020, CBO projects that will reach
almost 12 percent of GDP. But the deeper source of our predicament is a
self-indulgent political culture that avoids a rigorous discussion of
government's role.
Everyone favors benefits and opposes
burdens (taxes). Republicans want to cut taxes without cutting spending.
Democrats want to increase spending without increasing taxes, except on the
rich. The differences between the parties are shades of gray. Hardly anyone
asks the hard questions of who doesn't need benefits, which programs are
expendable and what taxes might cover remaining deficits.
Wrong-Way Health "Reform"
It's hard to know whether President Obama's health care
"reform" is naive, hypocritical or simply dishonest. Probably all three. The
president keeps saying it's imperative to control runaway health spending. He's
right. The trouble is that what's being promoted as health care "reform" almost
certainly won't suppress spending and, quite probably, will do the opposite.
Robert Samuelson, "Wrong-Way Health
'Reform'," American Issues Project, June 15, 2009 ---
Click Here
Obamacare = $1.5 trillion in new spending plus the administrative costs
If you think government is too big and too costly, wait
until Obamacare kicks in. The Congressional Budget Office put the price tag of
the House Democrats' health care takeover plans at $1.5 trillion over 10 years.
But the CBO's fine print included a telltale caveat: "We have not yet estimated
the administrative costs to the federal government of implementing the specified
policies, nor have we accounted for all of the proposal's likely effects on
spending for other federal programs."
Michelle Malkin, "Inside the
Monstrous Obamacare Bureaucracy," Townhall, July 17, 2009 ---
http://townhall.com/columnists/MichelleMalkin/2009/07/17/inside_the_monstrous_obamacare_bureaucracy
Also see
http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2009/jul/16/cbo-chief-health-bills-would-be-more-costly/print/
Also see "http://www.businessinsider.com/whoops-cbo-slams-pelosicare-no-cost-savings-2009-7,"
Jensen Comment
I just don't understand that, with all her dictatorial powers, House Majority
Leader Pelosi cannot make the CBO lie for her.
A hospital that serves thousands of indigent
Massachusetts residents sued the state on Wednesday, charging that its costly
universal health care law is forcing the hospital to cover too much of the
expense of caring for the poor. The hospital, Boston Medical Center, faces a $38
million deficit for the fiscal year ending in September, its first loss in five
years. The suit says the hospital will lose more than $100 million next year
because the state has lowered Medicaid reimbursement rates and stopped paying
Boston Medical “reasonable costs” for treating other poor patients.
Abby Goodnough, "Massachusetts in
Suit Over Cost of Universal Care," The New York Times, July 15, 2009 ---
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/07/16/us/16hospital.html?_r=1
The Ruins of Detroit (photographs) ---
http://www.white-history.com/hwrdet.htm
General Motors announced plans to invest $1 billion to develop two new car
models in Brazil. The president of GM's operations in Brazil and the Mercosur
countries said it is GM's biggest investment since the onset of the global
financial crisis. Jaime Ardila says about 50 percent of the money will come
directly from GM Brazil while the rest will be borrowed. One new small car and
one medium-sized car will be developed at the Gravatai plant in southern Brazil
and are expected to be in production by 2012.
"GM Investing $1B in Brazil for New Cars," CBS News, July
15, 2009 ---
Click Here
Jensen Comment
It's a good thing U.S. taxpayers provided the money for this investment in
Brazil while Detroit crumbles.
Obama's shifty economics
Now President Obama says in The Washington Post that he never envisioned that
his stimulus package would afford quick relief to the American economy, but
would do so only after it had run its two-year course. But when it was passed,
Obama sang a different tune, urgently demanding its enactment to speed relief to
a sagging economy. He claimed it would "create or save" 600,000 jobs. Now, even
as the economy loses 450,000 jobs each month, he pretends that it is a matter of
time until the stimulus kicks in.
"Obama's shifty economics," Jewish World Review, July 16,
200 ---
http://www.jewishworldreview.com/0709/morris071609.php3
How not to create new jobs with
stimulus funding
Give the funding to the unemployed and discourage new jobs with higher payroll
taxes
The U.S. Department of Labor announced Wednesday
the release of nearly $60 million in federal stimulus fund for unemployment
benefits in Arkansas. The state qualified for the funds after changing state law
in March to change the period of time it uses to calculate unemployment
benefits. Act 802 of 2009 also authorized the state Department of Labor to use
stimulus funds to provide an additional $25 a week to workers receiving
unemployment insurance, and it increased the amount of an employee’s salary that
businesses must pay unemployment taxes on from $10,000 to $12,000 starting in
2010.
Arkansas News Bureau, July 16, 2009 ---
http://arkansasnews.com/2009/07/15/state-to-receive-nearly-60-million-in-stimulus-for-unemployment/
Actually the phrase "economic stimulus" is an oxymoron.
....a paper written at the University of California Berkeley entitled The
Macroeconomic Effects of Tax Changes: Estimates Based on a new Measure of Fiscal
Shocks, by Christina D. and David H. Romer (March 2007). (Christina Romer now
chairs the president's Council of Economic Advisors). This study found that the
tax multiplier is 3, meaning that each dollar rise in taxes will reduce private
spending by $3.
Van R. Hoisington and Lacy H. Hunt, "Debt and Inflation,"
Investors Insight ---
http://www.investorsinsight.com/blogs/john_mauldins_outside_the_box/archive/2009/07/13/debt-and-deflation.aspx#
Bob Jensen's threads on the largest swindle in the history of the
world ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/2008Bailout.htm
The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) places the net cost of the universal
health care bill at $1.5 trillion over ten years
House Democrats have unveiled their new healthcare plan
on which the Congressional Budget Office puts a price tag of $1.5 trillion. For
$1.5 trillion every American should get his or her own concierge doctor. This is
another one of the 1.5 trillion page bills which only lobbyists and insurance
company lawyers will read from cover-to-cover. But the major dailies had some of
the high points in their Wednesday editions. Actually the bill is only 1,018
pages long so some summer interns will read it, too.
Rich Galen,"$1.5 Trillion Gives Me Heartburn,"
Townhall, July 15, 2009 ---
http://townhall.com/columnists/RichGalen/2009/07/15/$15_trillion_gives_me_heartburn
Thirty-four Nobel Laureates on Thursday issued
a joint statement calling on Congress to adopt
President Obama proposed $150 billion Clean Energy Technology Fund in the
climate legislation it is considering. The climate bill approved by the House in
June falls far short of this goal, endangering the goal of conducting research
on a variety of topics related to climate change, according to the statement.
"The stable support this Fund would provide is essential to pay for the research
and development needed if the U.S., as well as the developing world, are to
achieve their goals in reducing greenhouse gases at an affordable cost," they
wrote.
Inside Higher Ed, July 17, 2009 ---
http://www.insidehighered.com/news/2009/07/17/qt#203637
Jensen Comment
Of course none of them could possibly be swayed by the cash cow grants that they
will be able to tap if this legislation is passed.
Video
Senator Barbara Boxer Accused Of Race-Baiting At Energy Hearing ---
http://www.businessinsider.com/senator-barbara-boxer-accused-of-race-baiting-at-energy-hearing-2009-7
Jensen Comment
Senator Boxer accepts being called "Ma'am" from blacks but not from generals.
We watched the
video, and we can see Alford's point. Senator
Boxer does come across as condescending, and, weirdly, she doesn't even seem to
understand why a he would find it offensive for her to rebut his argument not on
the merits but via a racially specific appeal to authority. Yet Alford, by
speaking on behalf the National Black Chamber of Commerce, is himself relying on
just such a racially specific appeal to authority. We tend to agree with Alford
and disagree with Boxer on the subject they were discussing, but the rule of
etiquette he invoked--blacks may claim authority on account of their race, but
whites may not seek to undermine that authority--put her at an unfair
disadvantage, one that was particularly unwarranted given that the topic at hand
had nothing to do with race.
James Taranto, The Wall Street
Journal Email Newsletter, July 17, 2009
The video is at
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FE_jGD5nZ6U&
General Electric Licks Its Lips While Drooling Over $200 Billion in Obama
Revenue
General Electric Co. (GE) Chief Executive Jeff Immelt
said Friday that government stimulus programs were "non-factors" during the
first half of 2009, but remains optimistic that they will start gaining
traction. Immelt reiterated that GE is well positioned to target up to about
$200 billion in revenue from global stimulus efforts, notably in the clean
energy, health care and transportation sectors.
Bob Sechler, "GE's Immelt: Stimulus Efforts To Build In 2H," The Wall Street
Journal, July 17, 2009 ---
http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20090717-706470.html
More on the greatest swindles of the world
General Electric, the world's largest industrial company, has quietly become the
biggest beneficiary of one of the government's key rescue programs for banks. At
the same time, GE has avoided many of the restrictions facing other financial
giants getting help from the government. The
company did not initially qualify for the program,
under which the government sought to unfreeze credit markets by guaranteeing
debt sold by banking firms. But regulators soon loosened the eligibility
requirements, in part because of behind-the-scenes appeals from GE. As a result,
GE has joined major banks collectively saving billions of dollars by raising
money for...
Jeff Gerth and Brady Dennis,
"How a Loophole Benefits GE in Bank Rescue Industrial Giant Becomes Top
Recipient in Debt-Guarantee Program," The Washington Post, June 29, 2009
---
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/06/28/AR2009062802955.html?hpid=topnews
Jensen Comment
GE thus becomes the biggest winner under both the TARP and the Cap-and-Trade
give away legislation. It is a major producer of wind turbines and other
machinery for generating electricity under alternative forms of energy. The
government will pay GE billions for this equipment. GE Capital is also "Top
Recipient in Debt-Guarantee Program." Sort of makes you wonder why GE's NBC
network never criticizes liberal spending in Congress.
Jensen's threads on the bank rescue swindle are at
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/2008Bailout.htm z
Bob Jensen's fraud updates are at
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/FraudUpdates.htm
"The (Horrible) Cost of Doing Something," by John Stossel, ABC News
20/20 ---
http://blogs.abcnews.com/johnstossel/2009/06/the-cost-of-doing-something.html
The Greatest
Swindle in the History of the World
"The
Greatest Swindle Ever Sold," by Andy Kroll, The Nation, May 26, 2009 ---
http://www.thenation.com/doc/20090608/kroll/print
It’s not that interesting to watch the Democrats
lose touch with America. That’s because the plotline is exactly the same. The
party is led by insular liberals from big cities and the coasts, who neither
understand nor sympathize with moderates. They have their own cherry-picking
pollsters, their own media and activist cocoon, their own plans to lavishly
spend borrowed money to buy votes.
David Brooks, "Liberal Suicide
March," The New York Times, July 21, 2009
---
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/07/21/opinion/21brooks.html?_r=1&hpw
Being Honest About Being Dishonest
Democrats openly admit that most of the stimulus money is going to counties that
voted for Obama
A new study released by USA Today also finds that
counties that voted for Obama received about twice as much stimulus money per
capita as those that voted for McCain. "The stimulus bill is designed to help
those who have been hurt by the economic downturn.... Do you see disparity out
there in where the money is going? Certainly," a Democratic congressional
staffer knowledgeable about the process told FOXNews.com.
John Lott, "ANALYSIS: States Hit
Hardest by Recession Get Least Stimulus Money," Fox News, July 19,
2009---
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,533841,00.html
Jensen Comment
Can you imagine the seismic uproar in the media if McCain had done this with
counties that voted for him?
Being Dishonest About Being Dishonest
According to a Des Moines Register report, Sen. Tom Harkin, D-Iowa, wants
Congress to use "climate change" legislation to mandate that auto manufacturers
fit all new cars to run on a blend of 85 percent ethanol. "We own the automobile
companies," Harkin said earlier this week. "Why not? I think that will be an
easy one."
WorldNetDaily, July 18,
2009 ---
http://www.wnd.com/index.php?fa=PAGE.view&pageId=104380
Jensen Comment
Harkin represents the major corn-growing
state of the union. What he fails to mention is that fuel costs will increase
more than ten times because virtually all scientists agree that corn ethanol is
a total loser as fuel. Firstly it requires too much natural gas to heat the
production process. It consumes 60 gallons of water for each gallon of ethanol.
Ethanol cannot be shipped through the nation's network of pipelines and will
have to be transported in tank cars to every city, town, and village in the
United States. What a dumb proposition, but coming from labor's patsy Tom Harkin
I'm not surprised. Sugar can ethanol is more efficient as demonstrated in
Brazil, but the U.S. cannot produce near enough sugar cane for 85% of the fuel
in America and still would face the enormous tanker car transport necessity. The
algae option is more promising but a long way off in terms of being viable.
Mobil-Exxon is spending nearly a billion dollars on algae research.
"The Ethanol Bubble Pops in Iowa: More evidence the fuel makes little
economic sense," by Max Schulz, The Wall Street Journal, April 18,
2009 ---
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124000832377530477.html
Ethanol is also bad for the environment.
Science magazine published an article last year by Timothy Searchinger of
Princeton University, among others, that concluded that biofuels cause
deforestation, which speeds climate change. The National Oceanographic and
Atmospheric Administration noted in July 2007 that the ethanol boom rapidly
increased the amount of fertilizer polluting the Mississippi River. And this
week, University of Minnesota researchers Yi-Wen Chiu, Sangwon Suh and Brian
Walseth released a study showing that in California -- a state with a water
shortage -- it can take more than 1,000 gallons of water to make one gallon
of ethanol. They warned that "energy security is being secured at the
expense of water security."
For all the pain ethanol has caused, it
displaced a mere 3% of our oil usage last year. Even if we plowed under all
other crops and dedicated the country's 300 million acres of cropland to
ethanol, James Jordan and James Powell of the Polytechnic University of New
York estimate we would displace just 15% of our oil demand with biofuels.
But President Barack Obama, an ethanol
fan, is leaving current policy in place and has set $6 billion aside in his
stimulus package for federal loan guarantees for companies developing
innovative energy technologies, including biofuels. It's part of his push to
create "green jobs." Archer Daniels Midland and oil refiner Valero are
already scavenging the husks of shuttered ethanol plants, looking for
facilities on the cheap. One such facility may be the plant in Dyersville,
which is for sale. Before we're through, we'll likely see another ethanol
bubble.
"Obama's Energy Policy Driven by Ideology, not Reason," by
Tom Borelli, Townhall, April 2009 ---
http://townhall.com/columnists/TomBorelli/2009/04/18/obamas_energy_policy_driven_by_ideology,_not_reason
Obama Learns from Keith Olbermann: Cherry Picking Your Guests from
Only Your Own Choir
President Barack Obama last Monday met for the first time with leaders of
selected Jewish organizations and leaks from the meeting now make one thing very
clear. The only free country in the Middle East no longer has a friend in the
leader of the free world. Obama is the most hostile sitting American president
in the history of the state of Israel . . . The meeting, however, did not
showcase the president's trademark engagement and dialogue routine. Instead, he
decided to cherry pick his Jewish audience to include pro-Obama newcomers with
little support in the mainstream Jewish world, such as J Street, while
blackballing the Zionist Organization of America. The oldest pro-Israel group in
the United States, with a Washington office second in size only to the American
Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC), was not a voice Obama wanted to hear.
This leaves the president willing to engage Iranian President Mahmoud
Ahmadinejad but not ZOA President Mort Klein.
Anne Anne Bayefsky,
Jerusalem Post, July 19, 2009 ---
Jensen Comment
As long as key Jewish leaders like N.Y.
Senator Charles Schumer and Harvard Law Professor
Alan
Dershowitz worship at the feet of President Obama, our President has little
fear of a Jewish backlash in the elections of 2010 or 2012. If key Jewish
Democrats should ever rear up against the changing U.S. policies toward Israel,
there may be more worries for Obama in forthcoming elections. What's interesting
is that conservatives previously railed against the power of Zionists in
controlling the liberal U.S. media. But the liberal U.S. media like NBC, CBS,
Newsweek, Time, The New York Times, etc. virtually never find fault with
initiatives put forth by President Obama. In fact the Obamamercials from MSNBC
are becoming sickening. In fairness, I think our President sincerely believes
that stomping on Israel and American money will bring Iran, Syria, and Hamas to
the peace table. Time will tell. I personally support his efforts to curtail
West Bank settlements. Somebody must put a stop to that madness. But in terms of
his charisma, he's beginning to feel full of himself and selling out the U.S.
economy.
While acquiescing to the demands of its two major
shareholders -- Washington and Big Labor -- GM did get concessions of its own.
The UAW will allow the company to pay a majority of workers at Orion
(in Michigan) lower, "second-tier" wages of $14-$16 an
hour with no pension benefits. That will make Orion's wages competitive with the
non-union Kia plant in Georgia (which makes SUVs).
Henry Payne, "Will Small Be Beautiful for GM? Michigan's
Orion plant has become a symbol of government run amok in the auto industry,"
The Wall Street Journal, July 18, 2009 ---
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124786970963060453.html
Jensen Comment
But there will be no UAW wage and pension concessions for Ford Motor
Company because Ford did not screw its shareholders/creditors and turn its
ownership over to the UAW and Obama.
Wink! Wink! Where are the French peace keepers in Lebanon?
A day after an explosion uncovered a hidden Hizbullah
arms cache in southern Lebanon, the IDF's Northern Command estimated that the
group had turned hundreds of homes in the area into warehouses to store short-
and medium-range Katyusha rockets. The IDF released video footage taken from an
Israeli aircraft, showing a home that had exploded on Tuesday in the village of
Hirbet Selm - located some 20 kilometers north of the Lebanese border. The roof
is seen in the footage with dozens of holes, which IDF ballistic experts said
were the size of 122-mm. Katyusha rockets. UNIFIL said that storing the
ammunition was a "serious violation" of the UN-brokered ceasefire that ended the
Second Lebanon War in 2006.
Yaakoff Katz, Jerusalem Post,
July 16, 2009 ---
http://www.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?cid=1246443821498&pagename=JPost%2FJPArticle%2FShowFull
It could've been worse, They might've been Waterboarded
IRAN hanged some members of a Sunni rebel group in a
volatile southeastern area today, but they were put to death in prison and not
in public as initially planned, the semi-official Fars News Agency said. Fars
had reported yesterday that 14 members of Jundollah (God's soldiers) would be
executed in a park in the city of Zahedan, including the brother of its leader
Abdolmalek Rigi. But Ebrahim Hamidi, who heads the judiciary in
Sistan-Baluchestan province, said today the executions took place in a jail
instead and that Rigi's brother would be put to death later in the week. He...
"Insurgents hanged in jail," London Telegraph, July 14,
2009 ---
http://www.news.com.au/dailytelegraph/story/0,22049,25781618-5006506,00.html
Double Standard Keith Olbermann
MSNBC's Keith Olbermann says its commendable to wish a Fox News commentator dead
and to make jokes about the rape of Sarah Palin's teenage daughter, but it's
almost the worst sin imaginable to tastelessly remark about the T-shirt worn by
President Obama's daughter.
Noel Sheppard, "Is Making a Racist
Remark Worse Than Wishing Someone Dead?" Newsbusters, July 16, 2009 ---
http://newsbusters.org/blogs/noel-sheppard/2009/07/16/making-racist-remark-worse-wishing-someone-dead
Ten Cities Who Do Not Want to Provide Refuge to the Homeless
Would you
believe San Francisco and Berkeley?
Our city is downright mean. So says the National Law
Center on Homelessness and Poverty in a new report called "Homes Not Handcuffs"
that tracks the criminalization of homeless people in 273 cities nationwide. San
Francisco is ranked seventh, up (down?) from 10th last year. Berkeley ranks
10th. The very meanest cities are Los Angeles; St. Petersburg, Fla.; and
Orlando. The rankings were based on the number of anti-homeless laws, how
strongly those laws are enforced and the general political climate toward
homeless people.
Heather Knight and Rachel Gordon,
" San Francisco Chronicle, July 15, 2009 ---
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2009/07/15/BAAB18OF8J.DTL
Since it's her House she can do anything she darn well pleases
Monday night Democrats voted to shut down the U.S.
House Representatives rather than allow a handful of Republican Congressmen to
speak on the floor. What could have been so offensive or frightening about our
discourse that Speaker Pelosi felt she had to protect her party by gagging free
speech in the House? In fact, we had planned to speak on the lack of
transparency of the House since Democrats took control. We had planned to
criticize Speaker Pelosi for repeatedly denying Members, the media, and the
public to right to read legislation before it was voted on.
Representative John Carter, "Pelosi Censors Republicans,"
Humane Events, July 16, 2009 ---
http://www.humanevents.com/article.php?id=32718
It's Official: Teen sex can be fun
Britain's National Health Service has a message for teens: Sex can be fun.
Health officials are trying to change the tone of sex education by urging
teachers to emphasize that sexual relations can be healthy and pleasurable
instead of simply explaining the mechanics of sex and warning about diseases.
The new pamphlet, called "Pleasure," has sparked some opposition from those who
believe it encourages promiscuity among teens in a country that already has high
rates of teenage pregnancy and sexually transmitted diseases.
Gregory Katz, Yahoo News,
July 15, 2009 ---
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090714/ap_on_re_eu/eu_britain_teen_sex_3
James Tarranto of The Wall Street Journal concluded in a July 16, 2009
email newsletter that Judge Sonia Sotomayor was nominated on false pretenses.
She's really a right-wing extremist. Liberals may really be frustrated by her
decisions for the next 40 years, although there is a wee bit of a chance that
she may have lied a mite in the hearings.
• On empathy: She repudiated the idea that
it has any place in judging, as we noted yesterday.
• On foreign law: She expressed her
agreement with Justices Antonin Scalia and Clarence Thomas and said flatly,
"Foreign law cannot be used as a holding or a precedent or to bind or to
influence the outcome of a legal decision interpreting the Constitution or
American law that doesn't direct you to that law."
• On the Second Amendment: She said, "I
understand that how important the right to bear arms is to many, many
Americans. In fact, one of my godchildren is a member of the NRA. And I have
friends who hunt. I understand the individual right fully that the Supreme
Court recognized in Heller." As to whether the Second Amendment applies to
the states under the incorporation doctrine, she agreed with Justice Scalia
that this is an open question.
• On abortion: She declined to endorse Roe
v. Wade, offering only the usual dodge that it is "the precedent of the
court and settled, in terms of the holding of the court."
• On judicial activism: She said that
judges' "imposing policy choices in--or their views of the world or their
views of how things should be done" is "improper."
She's practically a new Robert Bork!
How is it that someone with such extreme-right-wing-out-of-the-mainstream
views seems set to win every Democratic vote in the Senate? Simple. She was
nominated by a Democratic president, and everyone assumes--correctly, in all
likelihood--that this is a better predictor of how she will vote than the
pieties she utters during her confirmation hearings. In fact, if you compare
her pieties with those of recent Republican nominees, you'd probably find
theirs to be somewhat more "liberal" than hers. That is because the
political task of a Supreme Court nominee is to persuade the public to
disbelieve the opposition's caricature of the nominee. That means speaking
pieties that play against type.
But you know, one thing Mrs. Clinton's learned is
how to wait. Things turn on a dime, you wake up in the morning and there's a new
headline that changes everything. Sooner or later Mr. Obama is going to get in
trouble, sooner or later the trouble will take hold and settle in, and sooner or
later she will be the unsullied one who quietly did her duty in spite of the
slights to which she's been subjected. And when that happens, she will
emerge—reluctantly, painfully—as the Democratic alternative. The one who almost
won, who knew—who learned the hard way—that you can't do everything all at once,
that it's the economy, stupid. They will look like kids playing with history.
Hillary isn't a kid. She's experienced, and has been roughed up by history.
Watch. She'll roll right back.
Peggy Noonan, The Wall Street
Journal, July 18, 2009 ---
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124777884829553723.html
From one of my favorite Websites on economics and finance
"Will the Democrats' Massive Borrowing and Spending Binge Kill the U.S.
Economy?" by Gerard Jackson, Seeking Alpha, July 13, 2009 ---
Click Here
Any reasonably intelligent person
understands that if the demand for a product increases then (all things
being equal, as the economist would say) its price will rise. The same holds
in the case of borrowing, except for congressional Democrats. These people
seem to think that economics laws are a vicious Republican plot.
Poll figures are now showing that the
American public is growing alarmed by the Democrats' utterly reckless fiscal
policy. Unfortunately, few people understand just how grave the danger
really is. In less than five months Obama increased the national debt by
more than $800 million and lumbered the economy with a $1.8 trillion deficit
that looks like growing even bigger. (I still get silly emails from Obama
cultists who were evidently screaming into their computer monitors: "Bush
did!" Pathetic doesn't begin to describe these people). In 2003 Thomas
Laubach, the US Federal Reserve’s senior economist, produced New Evidence on
the Interest Rate Effects of Budget Deficits and Debt, a paper containing
calculations for long-term interest rates based on historical evidence. He
concluded that
a percentage point increase in the
projected deficit-to-GDP ratio raises the 10-year bond rate expected to
prevail five years into the future by 20 to 40 basis points, a typical
estimate is about 25 basis points.
As the US deficit has rocketed from 3
percent to 13.5 percent one should therefore expect long-term rates to rise
by at least 2.5 percentage points. In addition, he believes that a 1 percent
rise in the ratio of debt to GDP will raise future rates by 4 to 5 basis
points. It appears that recent movements in long-term rates support Mr
Laubach's thesis. The 20-year treasury bill stood at 3.22 percent on 2
February: by the 8 July it had risen to 4.13 percent. It was the same story
10-year treasuries which rose from 2.46 percent on 2 January to 3.33 percent
on 8 July while the 30-year mortgage rate had risen to 5.32 percent by 2
July as against 4.78 percent for 2 April. The government's insatiable demand
for funds looks very much like it is driving up long-term rates very
quickly.
Obama supporters with their fetish for big
government can always claim that economic conditions in Japan refute Laubach.
Japan has increased its national debt by a colossal amount and yet interest
rates remain ridiculously low. These critics overlooked the economist's
caveat: All things being equal. Just as the price of the a monetary unit
(its purchasing power) is determined by the supply and demand for it, the
same holds for all other economic goods. For example, though US car
production has dropped car prices have not jumped. Why? Because demand fell.
The same holds for Japanese interest
rates. They have not been driven up government borrowing because the private
demand for loans has virtually collapsed. A similar situation prevailed
during the Great Depression. Despite Roosevelt's spending and borrowing
interest rates remained low — but so did business borrowing with the result
that there was a great deal of capital consumption.
Professor Higgs calculated that from 1930
to 1940 net private investment was minus $3.1 billion. (Robert Higgs,
Depression, War, and Cold War, The Independent Institute, 2006, p. 7).
Arthur Lewis calculated that from 1929 to 1938 net capital formation plunged
by minus 15.2 percent (W. Arthur Lewis, Economic Survey 1919-1939, Unwin
University Books, 1970, p. 205). Benjamin M. Anderson estimated that in 1939
there was more than 50 percent slack in the economy. (Benjamin M. Anderson,
Economics and the Public Welfare: A Financial and Economic History of the
United States 1914-1946, LibertyPress, 1979, pp. 479-48). It ought to be
obvious that where a process of capital consumption is underway — as it was
in the 1930s — one should expect to see a rise in the average age of plant
and equipment. This is precisely what happened as shown by the table below.
So where we have a situation in which
extremely low interest rates reign while government borrowing has massively
expanded we should expect to find — as in Japan — that the personal demand
for loans. particularly by business, has plunged. In other words, critics
have been looking at only part of the equation. It just so happens that most
critics of Obama's spending mania have also overlooked a vital point — the
crucial role that interest rates play in raising or lowering the standard of
living.
If the government's fiscal policy imposes
high long-term rates on the economy then prospective highly time-consuming
projects, the ones that do so much to raise real wage rates, would have to
be abandoned. Moreover, existing projects of the same nature would be
eventually phased out. This is called capital consumption. What this means
is that the quantity of savings necessary to prevent the capital structure
from contracting are no longer available. As Hayek observed:
[I]t is quite possible that, after a
period of great accumulation of capital and a high rate of saving, he
rate of profit and the rate of interest may be higher than they were
before — if the rate of saving is insufficient compared with the amount
of capital which entrepreneurs have attempted tp form, or if the demand
for consumers' goods is too high compared with the supply. And for the
same reason the rate of interest and profit may be higher in a rich
community with much capital and a high rate of saving than in an
otherwise similar community with little capital and a low rate of
saving. (Friedrich von Hayek, The Pure Theory of Capital, The University
of Chicago Press, 1975, p. 396).
Added to this is Obama's misguided energy
policy that amounts to a massive tax on production. Once that is also taken
into account one is left looking at economic carnage.
America, what is happening to you?
“One thing seems probable to me,” said Peer Steinbrück,
the German finance minister, in September 2008....“the United States will lose
its status as the superpower of the global financial system.” You don’t have to
strain too hard to see the financial crisis as the death knell for a
debt-ridden, overconsuming, and underproducing American empire.
Richard Florida, "How the Crash Will
Reshape America," The Atlantic, March 2009 ---
http://www.theatlantic.com/doc/200903/meltdown-geography
Bob Jensen's threads on pending economic disaster in the U.S. ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Entitlements.htm
Video tutorial on the President's strategy and the legislative process for
passing health reform legislations ---
http://www.kaiseredu.org/tutorials/reformprocess/player.html
The major stumbling block, apart from political gaming, is how to finance
health care. Clearly, there's a limit to stacking more trillions on the
trillions of budget deficits already in place. It's naive to think that any one
cohort such as the top 3% of wage earners can pay for health care reform of the
masses. Surtaxes on higher income people have enormous adverse impacts on
employment opportunities in small business companies, incentives to take
financial risks for new ventures, support of charities and colleges, tax
cheating, etc. Even worse is that costs of universal health care are being so
fraudulently underestimated that even total confiscation of high incomes would
only be a drop in the bucket. For example, the massive fraud losses in Medicare
will increase 100-fold under universal health care, and these new fraud losses
have not been factored into the present cost estimates.
The only sensible solution is to spread the pain of universal health care
among virtually all recipients of the health insurance coverage. This means
significant increases in taxes for all wage earners at all income levels, much
like the cost of health care is spread out in Canada even if total
nationalization of health care in the U.S. is not politically feasible at the
moment.
Moral Hazards of Precondition Coverage in Employer Health Insurance
My major concern in the proposed universal health insurance legislation is the
disastrous proposal that employers must pay for health insurance coverage of
preconditions. This presents all sorts of moral hazards and financial risks that
will either force employers out of business or force employers to shift to
replacing nearly all full-time employees with part-time employees who do not
have to be covered in the employer's health insurance plan.
As an illustration of the moral hazard, consider the following scenario. A
nurse-mom makes high wages as
an excellent, albeit part-time, physician’s assistant. The wages are so high
that she now affords to buy private health insurance that will not cover organ
transplants. She discovers that one of her children needs a
heart transplant. She then switches jobs to a become a minimum wage
full-time filing clerk at a
small private college in the community just so she can get precondition
coverage the heart transplant. The small private college that has its own
employee insurance coverage pool is now
stuck with having to fund a child’s million dollar heart transplant as a precondition
required by law by employers who hire new employees. Even if the college has
a major medical kick-in policy, the cost of such a major medical policy will sky
rocket when preconditions are required by law to be covered.
Her income as a full-time filing clerk is about a tenth of her income as a
part-time physician's assistant. After her child's heart transplant this
nurse-mom goes back to being
a highly paid part-time physician’s assistant.
Another moral hazard will be when a worker’s family member
in any nation has an expensive medical precondition. If the worker sneaks into
the U.S., the entire family is eligible for the House version of the universal
health care plan ---
http://townhall.com/columnists/MichelleMalkin/2009/07/22/obamacare_for_illegal_aliens
Also see
http://www.avherald.com/h?article=41a81ef1/0037&opt=4608
In other words a worker who would not otherwise sneak into the U.S. to become
an illegal alien is motivated to do so just for the health insurance coverage of
very expensive procedures such as organ transplants and neuro surgeries. The
family might then return to their own home country after beating the U.S. health
care system.
Actually this scenario
is unrealistic because, after the universal health care legislation requires
employers to cover preconditions, the local college will probably adopt a new
policy of hiring only part-time employees, including faculty, so that the new
hires do not have to be covered in the health insurance plan.
Many contracts that write in pre-existing coverage greatly limit the amounts
to be paid out for pre-existing conditions relative to conditions arising after
the insurance goes into effect. I grant you that it is more of a problem in
individual plans but you’ve oversimplified the complications ---
http://snipurl.com/preexistingissues [www_medsave_com]
Title I of HIPAA currently limits restrictions that a group health plan can
place on benefits for preexisting conditions. Group health plans may refuse to
provide benefits relating to preexisting conditions for a period of 12 months
after enrollment in the plan or 18 months in the case of late enrollment. This
moral hazard protection will of course all change under the proposed health care
legislation.
Do we want to become a nation of part-time workers having to carry multiple
jobs?
I would prefer that the government take over all health
insurance coverage and seriously tax everybody covered in the system. But if the
mess of private and government insurance coverage comes into place, it is
extremely important for government to somehow pick up the coverage of expensive
preconditions such as organ transplants, AIDs, and severe mental health needs of
some family members. To shunt these precondition costs onto employers will
destroy full-time career opportunities throughout the land as employers fear the
financial risks of preconditions. The repercussions will be enormous.
Below is a message I recently sent out to the AECM listserve.
Hi James,
Health care is politically charged at the moment and should probably be
avoided on the AECM. I would like to add that some studies contend that
government-administered health insurance will be more expensive in terms of
administrative costs per person covered.
"Medicare Administrative Costs Are Higher, Not Lower, Than for Private
Insurance," by Robert Book, The Heritage Foundation, June 25, 2009 ---
http://www.heritage.org/Research/HealthCare/wm2505.cfm
It’s probably unfair to compare private versus public health insurance if
the two are not direct competitors. For example, private health insurance
often, these days, is mostly administering employer-funded insurance that
employers keep a close eye on for cost efficiency often by capping such
risks as mental health coverage to $10,000 or less. I know of one small
university that had seven children of employees who, in less than a year,
wiped out the entire multi-million balance set up in a health coverage fund.
After that a cap was placed on certain types of coverage. Medical costs for
the seven children were shifted to taxpayers.
I’m reminded of the guy whose only reason for committing a felony was to
get into a California prison so he could get a “free” heart transplant. Who
was really being held up here?
I think the big issue in the short run will focus on
preconditions that may soon be required by law to be funded by employers.
These leads to real moral hazards.
Medicare covers most people on permanent disability. These persons often
have more frequent medical billings that require more costs to administer.
My wife has been on permanent disability for over twenty years at a Medicare
cost of over $2 million not counting the enormous cost of administering her
claims ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Erika2007.htm
Erika now has special-alloyed metal from her hips to her neck that costs
more than the metal in a Mercedes. I tease her by trying to figure out what
I could get on eBay by selling her as scrap. She jokes back that I’m worth
zero in the scrap market.
By the way, I disagree with you regarding quality of care at U.S.
hospitals and surgeons and home therapy. I can’t think of any other nation
where I would want to send her for better care from year-to-year.
If we leave health insurance out of the debate, there is evidence that
privatization has led to many innovations and efficiencies in various, but
not all, industries. Certainly not much good in the way of innovation tends
to come from private or public monopolies that do not have to maintain a
competitive edge in terms of effectiveness and efficiency.
Heads of state in other nations are frequently sent to the U.S. for
medical treatments that are just not as good in their own nations.
The U.S. has advanced medical services more than any
other nation. And many poor people have access to the best services,
especially people of all ages and income declared permanently disabled that
automatically get Medicare coverage. The problem is making the
best services available to everybody at price they can afford.
I'm tempted to say that being declared permanently disabled and getting
Medicare at a young age is a ticket to heaven. But that's probably going a
bit too far. Certainly there's a lot of fraud where people are declared
disabled who are not in the least disabled. They simply managed
to game the system.
Others like Erika live in constant severe pain and have no bowel or bladder
control.
One media myth is that that the cost of having to cover preconditions
must be picked up by fat cat health insurance companies. Since so many
employers are now funding (177 million workers under this 1974 Erisa
provision of the law) their own employee health insurance, the employers
themselves will have to absorb the expensive precondition costs such as the
need for organ transplants. State universities can pass these costs along to
their states, but small private universities will have to cover the possibly
huge costs with higher tuition and appeals to benefactors. I fully
anticipate that some private colleges will go out of business because of
changes in the health insurance law.
Certainly employers will move more and more into a part-time labor force
because of changes in the health insurance law. This, in turn, will force
more and more “ weary workers” with three or four part time jobs into the
government’s insurance plan. The tragedy is that they can't get full time
jobs because of potential employers would be paying far more on average for
workers' family medical coverage, especially with precondition coverage,
than for the labor cost per se.
Health care will have to be rationed no matter what ---
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/07/19/magazine/19healthcare-t.html?pagewanted=1&em
I'm reminded of a former colleague with advanced bone cancer who was given
two hip transplants just weeks before he died. This made no sense to me
since he was in more misery after the transplants as he was before the
transplants.
In Canada the average Canadian is willing to give half his/her income for
a National Health Care Plan. This is the only way to go in the U.S. for
either a nationalized health plan or a nationalized insurance plan. The
current proposal of taxing less than three percent of the people of for
government insurance for the other 97% is absurd.
The most absurd situation is to keep borrowing trillions of dollars and
passing the bills along to future generations. That will bankrupt the entire
United States. Welcome to Zimbabwe!
It will be painful, but even people earning minimum wage must give up a
significant portion of earnings to pay for health care. Illegal immigrants
must pay a large portion of their earnings toward health care that is now
free to them in emergency rooms. Middle income people must pay about 50% of
their total earnings for health care. That’s the only way it will be a
sustainable system.
Perhaps 50% won’t even be enough!
We need a better system. I think socialized medicine is the answer with
high taxes and no private insurance companies. It will be rough for a while
with 30% or higher unemployment for a time due to tax rises, but with
Democrats in monopoly control of Congress now is the time to bite the tax
bullet.
Taxes Must Increase On Average (for everybody) Nearly 50% to Balance the
Federal Budget
(that does not include added taxes for universal health care and carbon
capping legislation trillion dollar costs)
(that does not include added taxes for unbalanced state budgets)
And if you think high taxes are bad, wait until you experience Zimbabwe-like
inflation?
"The Real Era of Big Government," by Robert Samuelson, American Issues
Project, July 13, 2009 ---
Click Here
Bob Jensen
PS
One added worry about moral hazard that is extremely controversial.
Another moral hazard will be when a worker’s family
member in any nation has an expensive medical precondition. If the worker
sneaks into the U.S., the entire family is eligible for the House version of
the universal health care plan ---
http://townhall.com/columnists/MichelleMalkin/2009/07/22/obamacare_for_illegal_aliens
In other words a foreign worker who would not otherwise
sneak into the U.S. to become an illegal alien is motivated to do so just
for the health insurance coverage of very expensive procedures such as organ
transplants and neurosurgeries. The family might then return to their own
home country after beating the U.S. health care system.
One thing that is not clear to me is how private
insurance will survive since, under the proposed House Bill, employers can
opt out of providing health insurance for workers by paying an 8% penalty to
the government. For virtually all employers this 8% option is by far the
cheapest alternative and is much less that virtually all employer insurance
benefit programs will cost when pre-condition health needs are factored into
the coverage.
I’m beginning to think the 8% parameter in the House
Bill is really a blatant bait and switch fraud
designed to only obtain passage of the legislation in 2009. After
universal health care insurance is mandated the government will in no way be
able, at least for the next couple of decades, to administer health
insurance for hundreds of millions of worker families plus the families of
all unemployed persons plus the illegal immigrants and their families.
The bait and switch will be to increase the 8%
employer-penalty parameter dramatically to something like 50% such that,
even when paying for precondition coverage, employers have little choice but
to cover full-time workers. The adverse externality here, however, is that
employers will increasingly shift from full-time to part-time workers where
part-time workers have little choice but to enroll in the government
insurance plan. Full-time employees will then not be allowed into the
government insurance program and are left with zero choice other to enroll
in the employer’s plan (which will be funded in most instances by private
insurance companies making a profit).
Of course the government will not make a profit on
health insurance. It will be quite the opposite because government will have
to cover both fraud and tens of millions of unemployed and very low income
people who can only get part time jobs. The government plan eventually will
add trillions of dollars to deficit spending in spite of what Obama is
promising unless covered people at all levels of income share the pain of
health care insurance taxation. But a huge increase in taxation for health
care may permanently inhibit economic recovery in the United States.
The only answer in the long run will be inferior health
care which is all this nation can afford if it wants universal health care
in the presence of its $100 trillion unfunded entitlement programs before
passing universal health care legislation. We all can expect waiting rooms
filled to capacity that spill out into hallways while weary physicians
dispense with assembly-line medicine limiting each patient to five minutes.
Expensive procedures such as organ transplants and neurosurgeries will be
dispensed by lottery so that the system is indeed fair to one and all.
But the system will never be fair to one and all. The
rich will simply pay for excellent medical care offshore. Medicine will
become a booming business in places like Sweden, France, India, and yes even
Cuba.
And in the long run fewer foreigners will be sneaking
into the U.S. because the medical system in the U.S. will become too
inferior relative to alternatives in their own countries. Then again a
foreigner might sneak in just to take a chance on the health care organ
transplant and neurosurgery lottery.
The crazy
thing is that all of these negatives will not make me vote against some form
of universal health care. The current system is just too unjust and
inefficient. Perhaps we need to sacrifice quality for quantity at this
juncture. But then I only have to worry about all this for two more decades
or less. And if need be I can afford a trip to Cuba.
I’m really glad I’m not young any
more.
July 20, 2009 message sent to Trinity University on July 20, 2009
I forget who said “there
are lies and then there are damned lies.”
Whoever said this is absolutely correct with respect to media coverage of
the health care debate that seldom, if ever, mentions the huge adverse
impact of the changed rules of the game such as new rules for preconditions
and new rules for how big the self-insured insurance pool would have to
become to continue self insurance like Trinity presently uses to fund health
care coverage.
Everybody at Trinity should
read the “Repealing Erisa” article below, because Trinity University still
has (I think) Erisa-enabled self insurance with a major medical kick-in. It
will virtually impossible for Trinity to continue an Erisa-enabled health
plan if the present House Bill is not revised to make it easier to keep such
plans. But keeping such plans is probably out of the question anyway because
of the risks of frequent and large precondition claims.
In order to keep its
present health coverage plan, I think that the universal health care
legislation will have to exclude coverage of preconditions (as is the case
under Trinity’s present coverage). Secondly, the universal health care
legislation would have to encourage rather than discourage Erisa-enabled
plans. I don’t think this Congress will save Erisa-enabled plans for
organizations the size of Trinity University. It might be possible to save
such plans if governmental insurance picks up the precondition claims.
Actually Trinity will be
between a rock and a hard place, because going back to coverage by large
insurance companies will be much more expensive even if preconditions are
excluded. Adding on premium costs for preconditions will make employer
medical insurance premiums out of sight. I anticipate a huge migration to
part-time employees at Trinity.
An employee at Trinity
University asked, in a private response, why doctor shortage is not being
raised as a huge issue in the health care debate.
Doctor shortage has been
one of the enormous problems encountered in the Massachusetts Universal
Health Care Plan initiated by, then, Gov. Romney. People line up in
emergency rooms because they cannot find primary care physicians. Another
problem is that Boston’s leading hospital is now suing the State because the
cost of providing minimal health care to poor people greatly exceeds what
the hospital is being paid by the State under the MUHCP.
But doctor shortage is a
“no-no” in the health care debate. The legitimate argument is that the poor
should have equal opportunity access to the limited supply of doctors. The
irony here is that the proposed reduction of fees paid to doctors reimbursed
by Medicare (and presumably the forthcoming government insurance fund for
others) will drive more doctors out of participating in the plans. This
exacerbates the doctor shortage problem. But such fee reductions are
necessary as another ruse to cost-justify the proposed universal health care
plan.
Unless we bite the bullet
and move entirely to a Canadian-style nationalized health care program,
anything less will be an absolute disaster.
There’s one factor Trinity
University should plan for is the likely impossibility of continuing its
self-funded health insurance plan under Erisa. Partly due to required
coverage of preconditions, it will be very, very hard for organizations the
size of Trinity to fund its own Erisa-allowed claims (backed by a major
medical kick-in for enormous claims).
Trinity officials involved
in health care alternatives should carefully read the following article:
“Repealing Erisa,” The
Wall Street Journal, July 21, 2009
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203946904574298661486528186.html#mod=djemEditorialPage
One by one, President Obama’s health-care promises are
being exposed by the details of the actual legislation: Costs will
explode, not fall; taxes will have to soar to pay for it; and now we are
learning that you won’t be able to “keep your health-care plan” either.
The reality is that the House health bill, which the
Administration praised to the rafters, will force drastic changes in
almost all insurance coverage, including the employer plans that
currently work best. About 177 million people—or 62% of those under age
65—get insurance today through their jobs, and while rising costs are a
problem, according to every survey most employees are happy with the
coverage. A major reason for this relative success is a 1974 federal law
known by the acronym Erisa, or the Employee Retirement Income Security
Act.
Erisa allows employers that self-insure—that is, those
large enough to build their own risk pools and pay benefits directly—to
offer uniform plans across state lines. This lets thousands of
businesses avoid, for the most part, the costly federal and state
regulations on covered treatments, pricing, rate setting and so on. It
also gives them flexibility to design insurance to recruit and retain
workers in a competitive labor market. Roughly 75% of employer-based
coverage is governed by Erisa’s “freedom of purchase” rules.
Goodbye to all that. The House bill says that after a
five-year grace period all Erisa insurance offerings will have to win
government approval—both by the Department of Labor and a new “health
choices commissioner” who will set federal standards for what is an
acceptable health plan. This commissar—er, commissioner—can fine
employers that don’t comply and even has “suspension of enrollment”
powers for plans that he or she has vetoed, until “satisfied that the
basis for such determination has been corrected and is not likely to
recur.”
In other words, the insurance coverage of 132 million
people—the product of enormously complex business and health-care
decisions—will now be subject to bureaucratic nanomanagement. If
employers don’t meet some still-to-be-defined minimum package, they’ll
have to renegotiate thousands of contracts nationwide to Washington’s
specifications. The political incentives will of course demand an
ever-more generous “minimum” benefit and less cost-sharing, much as many
states have driven up prices in the individual insurance market with
mandates. Erisa’s pluralistic structure will gradually constrict toward
a single national standard.
Yet a computer programming firm, say, and a grocery store
chain have very different insurance needs, and in any case may not be
able to afford the same kind and level of benefits. Innovation in
insurance products will also be subject to political tampering. Likely
casualties include the wellness initiatives that give workers financial
incentives to take more responsibility for their own health, such as
Safeway’s. Some politicians will claim that’s unfair. High-deductible
plans with health savings accounts are also out of political favor,
therefore certain to go overboard. If you have one of those and like it,
too bad.
The new Erisa regime will be especially difficult to meet
for businesses that operate with very slim profit margins or have large
numbers of part-time or seasonal workers. They may simply “cash out” and
surrender 8% of their payroll under the employer-mandate tax. A new
analysis by the Lewin Group, prepared for the Heritage Foundation, finds
that some 88.1 million people will be shifted out of private employer
health insurance under the House bill. If those people preferred their
prior plan, well, too bad again.
The largest employers—though not all—may clear the
minimum bar, at least at first. But in addition to the “health choices”
administrative burden, the cost of labor will rise because the House
guts another key section of Erisa. Currently, lawsuits about employee
benefits are barred under the law, allowing large employers to avoid the
state tort lotteries in disputes over coverage. No longer. As a gratuity
to the trial bar, Democrats will now subject businesses to these
liabilities in the name of health “reform.”
So when Mr. Obama says that “If you like your health-care
plan, you’ll be able to keep your health-care plan, period. No one will
take it away, no matter what,” he’s wrong. Period. What he’s not telling
the American people is that the government will so dramatically change
the rules of the insurance market that employers will find it impossible
to maintain their current coverage, and many will drop it altogether.
The more we inspect the House bill, the more it looks to be one of the
worst pieces of legislation ever introduced in Congress.
Jensen Comment
Jagdish Gangolly later reminded me of "Lies, Damned Lies, and Statistics" in a
great article ---
http://cancerguide.org/median_not_msg.html
Several people responded with questions or comments about universal health care in
Massachusetts (that was enacted in 2006 under the guidance of Governor Mitt
Romney) which I will refer to here as MITT. Firstly I would like to note that
danger lurks in comparing the MITT with any universal health care plan being
proposed at the Federal level. Firstly, none of the 50 states has the power to
simply print money to pay its bills, as is being done on a relatively small
scale by the U.S. Treasury at the moment to pay for its excesses. Secondly, MITT is not universal in
that it is restricted to low income residents of the state. Thirdly, MITT
survives heavily on Federal subsidies, whereas nobody will subsidize any Federal
health care plan from above, although a small number of wealthy people may one
day make
benevolent contributions toward universal health care. Thus far Bill Gates and
Warren Buffett have been focused more on Africa's health issues such as TB and
polio.
An excellent, albeit brief, summary of MITT is provided at
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Massachusetts_health_care_reform
Health coverage is very limited in scope and the number of insured has increased
substantially. But many uninsured poor people still manage to slip through the
cracks.
An enormous problem has been the shortage of primary care physicians such
that those with newly-acquired MITT insurance cannot find a primary care doctor.
Most specialists refuse to treat patients who are not referred to them by a primary
care physician. Hence, there were and are long lines at Emergency Rooms both before and
after MITT was enacted even though many in those lines have MITT coverage. The
lines could be worse. MITT will not cover many costly procedures.
The MITT program is in deep financial stress at the moment and has had to make cuts in
scope of coverage
and in amounts paid to doctors and hospitals during the current economic crisis
---
http://liveshots.blogs.foxnews.com/2009/07/17/massachusetts-universal-health-care-cuts/
Hospitals complain that the promised coverage is far from sufficient to cover their costs.
Some, including the huge Boston General Hospital, are now suing or plan to sue
the State to recover some of their losses under MITT.
Under financial stress hospitals in Massachusetts have had to take huge
budget cuts. Rather than spread those cuts across the board to all departments,
some hospitals have decided to concentrate on dropping the most money-losing
departments. You probably can guess the leading candidate for being eliminated
--- the obstetrics department.
My neighbor down the road has a second home up here in the White Mountains.
However, he still practices cardiology in a Boston suburb. He says that
obstetrics departments are leading candidates for elimination, in large measure,
because of the high cost of malpractice insurance covering obstetrics services.
Lawyers file cookie-cutter lawsuits against doctors, nurses, and hospitals
for every defective baby irrespective of the facts in any given case. The reason
is the tendency of sympathetic juries to make multimillion dollar awards to a
mother of a defective baby irrespective of the facts in the case. Many juries
feel that fat cat insurance companies owe it to the unlucky woman (and her lucky
lawyers) who must nurture and raise a severely handicapped child. Juries make
such awards even when the doctors, nurses, and hospitals performed perfectly
under the circumstances. Paul Newman showed us how to love it when lawyers beat
the medical system in favor of the "poor and powerless" in The Verdict
---
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zVZFlBJftgg
But fat cat insurance companies adjust rates based upon financial risks. The
rates became so high for obstetrics that across most of the U.S. (less so in
states that cap punitive damages) thousands of gynecologists dropped the
obstetrics part of their services. And under MITT in Massachusetts some strained
hospitals dropped obstetrics services.
Health Care Reform Will Indeed Be Universal --- Tort Lawyers Are Fully
Covered
This raises the whole issue of costs of malpractice insurance in the entire
health system of the United States. Although a few states like Texas have
managed to put some restraints on punitive damages, President Obama wants no
such restraints placed on the tort system for virtually any legislation under
his term of office. Obama is a lawyer, and he can attribute much of his
political success to the financial and other support from tort law firms across
the land. He owes them and most of our legislators are themselves lawyers. As a
result there's virtually zero chance that any restraints will be placed upon the
number of malpractice lawsuits and sizes of awards in any universal health care
legislation. In fairness the U.S. Congress and some states years ago put some
restraints on runaway malpractice claims ---
http://www.redorbit.com/news/science/2593/house_passes_medical_malpractice_limits/
But in 2009 in Washington DC there is no sentiment for putting further
malpractice insurance cost restraints into the forthcoming universal health care
legislation.
In 2009 lawmakers in Washington DC are taking no lessons from malpractice
stinginess in the Canadian National Health Plan. Perhaps stinginess is what
comes with national health care plans that eliminated private insurance company
fat cats.
"Why 98 percent of Canadian Medical Malpractice Victims Never Receive a Penny in
Compensation," by John McKiggan ---
Click Here
Containing health-care costs is impossible under the
current legal structure. That fact has to be addressed if President Barack Obama
is to create an affordable health-care system that is accessible to everyone.
Canada Holds Down Health Care Costs by Not Allowing Tort Lawyers to Exploit
the System
Every incentive in the system now is to do more --
that's how doctors get paid and that's how doctors get protected from lawsuits.
Billions of dollars are wasted in "defensive medicine." Bureaucracy built up
over decades diverts resources from patient care to mindless compliance. Forms
are everywhere. The only path to affordable health care is a basic overhaul to
realign incentives. The new ideas are out there -- for example, creating a
reimbursement model that rewards effective care, and restoring trust in the
reliability of justice by creating special health courts. Overhaul, however,
requires letting go of the old ways. Congress is perfectly willing to come up
with new programs and introduce new taxes to pay for ever-rising health-care
costs. But Congress seems unwilling to make hard choices. Like a crash in slow
motion, you can see Congress tumbling down toward the lowest common denominator
-- a reform package that will do little to contain costs, but will offend the
least number of special interests.
Philip K. Howard, "Health Reform
Requires Lawsuit Reform: But tort lawyers are the one special interest
Democrats won't offend," The Wall Street Journal, July 15, 2009 ---
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124761995712942601.html
President Blames Doctors for Health Care Costs ---
http://townhall.com/columnists/KenKlukowski/2009/07/24/president_blames_doctors_for_health_care_costs
Jensen Comment
Of course the fact that lawyers are the cause of dysfunctional health care
insurance costs is never mentioned by our lawyer-loving President Obama.
The following disaster happened in a New York Times interview:
Something that will never be mentioned on MSNBC, Newsweek, The Nation,
or again in The New York Times
"Ruth Bader Ginsburg and a Question of Eugenics," by Johah Goldberg,
Townhall, July 15, 2009 ---
http://townhall.com/columnists/JonahGoldberg/2009/07/15/ruth_bader_ginsburg_and_a_question_of_eugenics
Here's what Supreme Court Justice Ruth
Bader Ginsburg said in Sunday's New York Times Magazine: "Frankly I had
thought that at the time (Roe v. Wade) was decided," Ginsburg told her
interviewer, Emily Bazelon, "there was concern about population growth and
particularly growth in populations that we don't want to have too many of."
The comment, which bizarrely elicited no
follow-up from Bazelon or any further coverage from the New York Times -- or
any other major news outlet -- was in the context of Medicaid funding for
abortion. Ginsburg was surprised when the Supreme Court in 1980 barred
taxpayer support for abortions for poor women. After all, if poverty partly
described the population you had "too many of," you would want to subsidize
it in order to expedite the reduction of unwanted populations.
Left unclear is whether Ginsburg endorses
the eugenic motivation she ascribed to the passage of Roe v. Wade or whether
she was merely objectively describing it. One senses that if Antonin Scalia
had offered such a comment, a Times interviewer would have sought more
clarity, particularly on the racial characteristics of these supposedly
unwanted populations.
Regardless, Ginsburg's certainly right
that abortion has deep roots in the historic effort to "weed out" undesired
groups. For instance, Margaret Sanger, the revered feminist and founder of
Planned Parenthood, was a racist eugenicist of the first order. Even more
perplexing: She's become a champion of "reproductive freedom" even though
she proposed a "Code to Stop Overproduction of Children," under which "no
woman shall have a legal right to bear a child without a permit." (Poor
blacks would have had a particularly hard time getting such licenses from
Sanger.)
If Ginsburg does see eugenic culling as a
compelling state interest, she'd be in fine company on the court. Oliver
Wendell Holmes was a passionate believer in such things. In 1915, Holmes
wrote in the Illinois Law Review that the "starting point for an ideal for
the law" should be the "coordinated human effort ... to build a race."
In 1927, he wrote a letter to his friend,
Harold Laski, telling him, "I ... delivered an opinion upholding the
constitutionality of a state law for sterilizing imbeciles the other day --
and felt that I was getting near the first principle of real reform." That
was the year he wrote the majority opinion in Buck v. Bell (joined by Louis
Brandeis) holding that forcibly sterilizing lower-class women was
constitutional. In recent years, openly discussing the notion of eugenic
aspects of abortion has become taboo. But as Ginsburg's comments suggest,
the taboo hasn't eliminated the idea; it's merely sent it underground.
To be sure, some heterodox liberals speak
up. The writer Nicholas von Hoffman has written: "Free, cheap abortion is a
policy of social defense. To save ourselves from being murdered in our beds
and raped on the streets, we should do everything possible to encourage
pregnant women who don't want the baby and will not take care of it to get
rid of the thing before it turns into a monster. ..."
Continued in article
Also see
http://townhall.com/columnists/MichaelGerson/2009/07/17/ginsburg_and_the_surplus_population
Jensen Comment
Actually abortion has worked in weeding out criminals according to University of
Chicago Economics Professor Steven Levitt in his controversial book
Freakonomics (a New York Times Best Seller) and even led to a NYT
Blog called Freakonomics ---
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Freakonomics
The Blog is at
http://freakonomics.blogs.nytimes.com/?scp=1-spot&sq=Freakonomics&st=cse
The Blog, however, will probably never mention the above quotation by Judge Ruth
Bader Ginzburg.
Did legalized abortion cut crime? ---
http://www.isteve.com/abortion.htm
Accounting Majors in Demand
Even when the economy is down, there is room for top
students in the profession. The National Association of Colleges and
Employers’ 2009 Student Survey found that, even though students in the class of
2009 were graduating with fewer jobs available, accounting majors are still in
high demand. Accounting and engineering graduates were among those majors most
likely to have already found jobs. Accounting majors expect to earn
an average starting salary of about $45,000, while engineering grads expect to
earn $58,000.
Journal of Accountancy, July 2009 ---
http://www.journalofaccountancy.com/Issues/2009/Jul/AccountingMajors.htm
Hot Academic Jobs of the Future
Note that due to shortage of supply of PhD accountants, newly-hired
accounting PhDs are generally among the highest paid faculty in their ranks such
as newly hired assistant professors of accounting now being paid well over
$120,000 for nine-month contracts in major universities. In most instances
accounting assistant professors get significantly higher offers than their
counterparts in science, humanities, and engineering. They may not do much
better than new hires in law schools. Medical schools have such complicated ways
of paying faculty, that comparisons of salaries of medical schools with all
other disciplines in a university are virtually impossible. For example, medical
faculty sometimes get bonuses for clinical services in university hospitals.
A June/July 2009 AACSB report says the shortage of accounting PhDs is getting
worse instead of better, particularly as the supply of new PhD graduates in
accounting declines while demand for accounting faculty explodes (accounting is
probably the only business discipline where demand for graduates has either held
steady in corporations or increased in public accounting):
"Doctoral-Level Faculty Numbers Continue to Decline," AACSB, June/July
2009 ---
http://www.aacsb.edu/publications/enewsline/datadirect.asp
And yet opportunities for graduates of accounting doctoral programs is
totally ignored in the latest article in the Chronicle of Higher Education
about the hottest academic jobs of the future. If I were advising a confused
undergraduate student who is contemplating a career in academe, I would say look
more closely at accounting, including the warts of virtually all accounting
doctoral programs ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/theory01.htm#DoctoralPrograms
"Hot Academic Jobs of the Future: Try These Fields," by Lee Roberts,
Chronicle of Higher Education, July 10, 2009 ---
http://chronicle.com/weekly/v55/i41/41b02201.htm?utm_source=at&utm_medium=en
Bob Jensen's threads on careers are at
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/bookbob1.htm#careers
"The Fall of Capitalism and the Rise of Islam Conference" in Chicago
A group committed to establishing an international
Islamic empire and reportedly linked to Al Qaeda is stepping up its Western
recruitment efforts by holding its first official conference in the U.S. Hizb
ut-Tahrir is a global Sunni network with reported ties to confessed 9/11
mastermind Khalid Sheikh Mohammed and Al Qaeda in Iraq's onetime leader Abu
Musab al-Zarqawi. It has operated discreetly in the U.S. for decades. Now, it is
coming out of the shadows and openly hosting a July 19 conference entitled, "The
Fall of Capitalism and the Rise of Islam," at a posh Hilton hotel in a suburb...
Phares said that Hizb ut-Tahrir, rather than training members to carry out
terrorist acts like Al Qaeda, focuses instead on indoctrinating youths between
ages of 9 and 18 to absorb the ideology that calls for the formation of an
empire — or "khilafah" — that will rule according to Islamic law and condones
any means to achieve it, including militant jihad.
"Islamic Supremacist Group Holds First U.S. Conference," Fox
News, July 17, 2009 ---
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,533525,00.html?test=latestnews
Two Videos Damning Capitalism: One Stupid, One Smart
Michael Moore cheered the bankruptcy of General Motors and absolutely
despises the comeback of General Motors
He has a relatively long list (some lucrative to him) leftist documentaries ---
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_Moore
His documentary Sicko got it wrong --- Cuba is not the dream country of
equity and quality in health care for the masses
Now he has a new documentary entitled: Capitalism: A Love Story
The Stupid Video
"Michael Moore Gets It Wrong," by John Stossel, ABC News, July
11, 2009 ---
http://blogs.abcnews.com/johnstossel/2009/07/michael-moore-gets-it-wrong.html
Michael Moore has been working on
another documentary. This time, he’s taking on
capitalism:
"The wealthy, at some point, decided they
didn't have enough wealth. They wanted more -- a lot more. So they
systematically set about to fleece the American people out of their
hard-earned money."
How ridiculous is that? The wealthy, and everyone
else, almost always decide that they don’t have enough wealth. People ask
their bosses for raises. We invest in stocks hoping for bigger returns than
Treasury Bonds bring. “Greed” is a constant. The beauty of free markets,
when government doesn’t meddle in them, is that they turn this greed into a
phenomenal force for good. The way to win big money is to serve your
customers well. Profit-seeking entrepreneurs have given us better products,
shorter work days, extended lives, and more opportunities to write the
script of our own life.
On Thursday, Moore
announced the title of the movie: Capitalism:
A Love Story.
It’s a title I might have picked to make a point
opposite of what I assume Moore has in mind.
Moore also fails to understand is that it was not
“capitalism” run amok that caused today’s financial problems. In reality,
it was a combination of
ill-conceived
government policies and an
overzealous Federal Reserve artificially lowering
interest rates to fuel a bubble in the housing market. Then it was
government that took money from taxpayers and
forced banks to accept it.
Moore ought to understand that, because he makes a
good point when he says his movie will be about "the biggest robbery in the
history of this country - the massive transfer of U.S. taxpayer money to
private financial institutions."
That is indeed robbery. It sure doesn’t sound like
capitalism.
The Smart Video
Better Video Damning "Managerial Capitalism" and It's Free Online ---
Click Here
http://snipurl.com/managerialcapitalism [fora_tv]
The Greatest Swindle in the History of the World
"The Greatest Swindle Ever Sold," by Andy Kroll, The Nation, May 26,
2009 ---
http://www.thenation.com/doc/20090608/kroll/print
The legislation's guidelines for crafting the rescue
plan were clear: the TARP should protect home values and consumer savings,
help citizens keep their homes and create jobs. Above all, with the
government poised to invest hundreds of billions of taxpayer dollars in
various financial institutions, the legislation urged the bailout's
architects to maximize returns to the American people.
That $700 billion bailout has since
grown into a more than $12 trillion commitment by
the US government and the Federal Reserve. About
$1.1 trillion of that
is taxpayer money--the TARP money and an additional $400 billion rescue of
mortgage companies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The TARP now includes twelve
separate programs, and recipients range from megabanks like Citigroup and
JPMorgan Chase to automakers Chrysler and General Motors.
Seven months in, the bailout's impact is unclear.
The Treasury Department has used the
recent "stress test" results it applied to
nineteen of the nation's largest banks to suggest that the worst might be
over; yet the
International Monetary Fund, as well as economists
like New York University professor and economist Nouriel Roubini and New
York Times columnist Paul Krugman
predict greater losses in US markets, rising unemployment and
generally tougher economic times ahead.
What cannot be disputed, however, is the financial
bailout's biggest loser: the American taxpayer. The US government, led by
the Treasury Department, has done little, if anything, to maximize returns
on its trillion-dollar, taxpayer-funded investment. So far, the bailout has
favored rescued financial institutions by
subsidizing their losses to the tune of $356 billion,
shying away from much-needed management changes and--with the exception of
the automakers--letting companies take taxpayer money without a coherent
plan for how they might return to viability.
The bailout's perks have been no less favorable for
private investors who are now picking over the economy's still-smoking
rubble at the taxpayers' expense. The newer bailout programs rolled out by
Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner give private equity firms, hedge funds
and other private investors significant leverage to buy "toxic" or
distressed assets, while leaving taxpayers stuck with the lion's share of
the risk and potential losses.
Given the lack of transparency and accountability,
don't expect taxpayers to be able to object too much. After all, remarkably
little is known about how TARP recipients have used the government aid
received. Nonetheless, recent government
reports, Congressional testimony and commentaries
offer those patient enough to pore over hundreds of pages of material
glimpses of just how Wall Street friendly the bailout actually is. Here,
then, based on the most definitive data and analyses available, are six of
the most blatant and alarming ways taxpayers have been scammed by the
government's $1.1-trillion, publicly funded bailout.
1. By overpaying for
its TARP investments, the Treasury Department provided bailout recipients
with generous subsidies at the taxpayer's expense.
When the Treasury Department ditched its initial
plan to buy up "toxic" assets and instead invest directly in financial
institutions, then-Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson Jr. assured Americans
that they'd get a fair deal. "This is an investment, not an expenditure, and
there is no reason to expect this program will cost taxpayers anything," he
said in October 2008.
Yet the Congressional Oversight Panel (COP), a
five-person group tasked with ensuring that the Treasury Department acts in
the public's best interest, concluded in its
monthly report for February that the department
had significantly overpaid by tens of billions of dollars for its
investments. For the ten largest TARP investments made in 2008, totaling
$184.2 billion, Treasury received on average only $66 worth of assets for
every $100 invested. Based on that shortfall, the panel calculated that
Treasury had received only $176 billion in assets for its $254 billion
investment, leaving a $78 billion hole in taxpayer pockets.
Not all investors subsidized the struggling banks
so heavily while investing in them. The COP report notes that private
investors received much closer to fair market value in investments made at
the time of the early TARP transactions. When, for instance,
Berkshire Hathaway invested $5 billion in Goldman Sachs
in September, the Omaha-based company received
securities worth $110 for each $100 invested. And when
Mitsubishi invested in Morgan Stanley that same
month, it received securities worth $91 for every $100 invested.
As of May 15, according to the
Ethisphere TARP Index, which tracks the
government's bailout investments, its various investments had depreciated in
value by almost $147.7 billion. In other words, TARP's losses come out to
almost $1,300 per American taxpaying household.
2. As the government
has no real oversight over bailout funds, taxpayers remain in the dark about
how their money has been used and if it has made any difference.
While the Treasury Department can make TARP
recipients report on just how they spend their government bailout funds, it
has chosen not to do so. As a result, it's unclear whether institutions
receiving such funds are using that money to increase lending--which would,
in turn, boost the economy--or merely to fill in holes in their balance
sheets.
Neil M. Barofsky, the special inspector general for
TARP, summed the situation up this way in his office's April quarterly
report to Congress: "The American people have a right to know how their tax
dollars are being used, particularly as billions of dollars are going to
institutions for which banking is certainly not part of the institution's
core business and may be little more than a way to gain access to the
low-cost capital provided under TARP."
This lack of transparency makes the bailout process
highly susceptible to fraud and corruption.
Barofsky's report stated that twenty separate
criminal investigations were already underway involving corporate fraud,
insider trading and public corruption. He also
told the Financial Times that his office
was investigating whether banks manipulated their books to secure bailout
funds. "I hope we don't find a single bank that's cooked its books to try to
get money, but I don't think that's going to be the case."
Economist Dean Baker, co-director of the Center for
Economic and Policy Research in Washington, suggested to TomDispatch in an
interview that the opaque and complicated nature of the bailout may not be
entirely unintentional, given the difficulties it raises for anyone wanting
to follow the trail of taxpayer dollars from the government to the banks.
"[Government officials] see this all as a Three Card Monte, moving
everything around really quickly so the public won't understand that this
really is an elaborate way to subsidize the banks," Baker says, adding that
the public "won't realize we gave money away to some of the richest people."
3. The bailout's newer
programs heavily favor the private sector, giving investors an opportunity
to earn lucrative profits and leaving taxpayers with most of the risk.
Under Treasury Secretary Geithner, the Treasury
Department has greatly expanded the financial bailout to troubling new
programs like the Public-Private Investment Program (PPIP) and the Term
Asset-Backed-Securities Loan Facility (TALF). The PPIP, for example,
encourages private investors to buy "toxic" or risky assets on the books of
struggling banks. Doing so, we're told, will get banks lending again because
the burdensome assets won't weigh them down. Unfortunately, the incentives
the Treasury Department is offering to get private investors to participate
are so generous that the government--and, by extension, American
taxpayers--are left with all the downside.
Joseph Stiglitz, the Nobel-prize winning economist,
described the PPIP program in a New York Times
op-ed this way:
Consider an asset that has a
50-50 chance of being worth either zero or $200 in a year's time. The
average "value" of the asset is $100. Ignoring interest, this is what the
asset would sell for in a competitive market. It is what the asset is
'worth.' Under the plan by Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, the
government would provide about 92 percent of the money to buy the asset but
would stand to receive only 50 percent of any gains, and would absorb almost
all of the losses. Some partnership!
Assume that one of the
public-private partnerships the Treasury has promised to create is willing
to pay $150 for the asset. That's 50 percent more than its true value, and
the bank is more than happy to sell. So the private partner puts up $12, and
the government supplies the rest--$12 in "equity" plus $126 in the form of a
guaranteed loan.
If, in a year's time, it turns
out that the true value of the asset is zero, the private partner loses the
$12, and the government loses $138. If the true value is $200, the
government and the private partner split the $74 that's left over after
paying back the $126 loan. In that rosy scenario, the private partner more
than triples his $12 investment. But the taxpayer, having risked $138, gains
a mere $37."
Worse still, the PPIP can be easily manipulated for
private gain. As economist
Jeffrey Sachs has described it, a bank with
worthless toxic assets on its books could actually set up its own
public-private fund to bid on those assets. Since no true bidder would pay
for a worthless asset, the bank's public-private fund would win the bid,
essentially using government money for the purchase. All the public-private
fund would then have to do is quietly declare bankruptcy and disappear,
leaving the bank to make off with the government money it received. With the
PPIP deals set to begin in the coming months, time will tell whether private
investors actually take advantage of the program's flaws in this fashion.
The Treasury Department's TALF program offers
equally enticing possibilities for potential bailout profiteers, providing
investors with a chance to double, triple or even quadruple their
investments. And like the PPIP, if the deal goes bad, taxpayers absorb most
of the losses. "It beats any financing that the private sector could ever
come up with," a
Wall Street trader commented
in a recent Fortune magazine story. "I almost want to say it is
irresponsible."
4. The government has
no coherent plan for returning failing financial institutions to
profitability and maximizing returns on taxpayers' investments.
Compare the treatment of the auto industry and the
financial sector, and a troubling double standard emerges. As a condition
for taking bailout aid, the government required Chrysler and General Motors
to present
detailed plans on how the companies would return
to profitability. Yet the Treasury Department attached minimal conditions to
the billions injected into the largest bailed-out financial institutions.
Moreover, neither Geithner nor Lawrence Summers, one of President Barack
Obama's top economic advisors, nor the president himself has articulated any
substantive plan or vision for how the bailout will help these institutions
recover and, hopefully, maximize taxpayers' investment returns.
The Congressional Oversight Panel highlighted the
absence of such a comprehensive plan in its
January report. Three months into the bailout, the
Treasury Department "has not yet explained its strategy," the report stated.
"Treasury has identified its goals and announced its programs, but it has
not yet explained how the programs chosen constitute a coherent plan to
achieve those goals."
Today, the department's endgame for the bailout
still remains vague. Thomas Hoenig, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of
Kansas City,
wrote in the Financial Times in May that
the government's response to the financial meltdown has been "ad hoc,
resulting in inequitable outcomes among firms, creditors, and investors."
Rather than perpetually prop up banks with endless taxpayer funds, Hoenig
suggests, the government should allow banks to fail. Only then, he believes,
can crippled financial institutions and systems be fixed. "Because we still
have far to go in this crisis, there remains time to define a clear process
for resolving large institutional failure. Without one, the consequences
will involve a series of short-term events and far more uncertainty for the
global economy in the long run."
The healthier and more profitable bailout
recipients are once financial markets rebound, the more taxpayers will earn
on their investments. Without a plan, however, banks may limp back to
viability while taxpayers lose their investments or even absorb further
losses.
5. The bailout's focus
on Wall Street mega-banks ignores smaller banks serving millions of American
taxpayers that face an equally uncertain future.
The government may not have a long-term strategy
for its trillion-dollar bailout, but its guiding principle, however
misguided, is clear: what's good for Wall Street will be best for the rest
of the country.
On the day the mega-bank stress tests were
officially released, another set of stress-test results came out to much
less fanfare. In its
quarterly report on the health of individual banks and the banking industry
as a whole, Institutional Risk Analytics (IRA), a
respected financial services organization, found that the stress levels
among more than 7,500 FDIC-reporting banks nationwide had risen
dramatically. For 1,575 of the banks, net incomes had turned negative due to
decreased lending and less risk-taking.
The conclusion IRA drew was telling: "Our overall
observation is that US policy makers may very well have been distracted by
focusing on 19 large stress test banks designed to save Wall Street and the
world's central bank bondholders, this while a trend is emerging of a going
concern viability crash taking shape under the radar." The report concluded
with a question: "Has the time come to shift the policy focus away from the
things that we love, namely big zombie banks, to tackle things that are
truly hurting us?"
6. The bailout
encourages the very behaviors that created the economic crisis in the first
place instead of overhauling our broken financial system and helping the
individuals most affected by the crisis.
As Joseph Stiglitz explained in the New York
Times, one major cause of the economic crisis was bank overleveraging.
"Using relatively little capital of their own," he wrote, banks "borrowed
heavily to buy extremely risky real estate assets. In the process, they used
overly complex instruments like collateralized debt obligations." Financial
institutions engaged in overleveraging in pursuit of the lucrative profits
such deals promised--even if those profits came with staggering levels of
risk.
Sound familiar? It should, because in the PPIP and
TALF bailout programs the Treasury Department has essentially replicated the
very over-leveraged, risky, complex system that got us into this mess in the
first place: in other words, the government hopes to repair our financial
system by using the flawed practices that caused this crisis.
Then there are the institutions deemed "too big to
fail." These financial giants--among them AIG, Citigroup and Bank of
America-- have been kept afloat by billions of dollars in bottomless bailout
aid. Yet reinforcing the notion that any institution is "too big to fail" is
dangerous to the economy. When a company like AIG grows so large that it
becomes "too big to fail," the risk it carries is systemic, meaning failure
could drag down the entire economy. The government should force "too big to
fail" institutions to slim down to a safer, more modest size; instead, the
Treasury Department continues to subsidize these financial giants,
reinforcing their place in our economy.
Of even greater concern is the message the bailout
sends to banks and lenders--namely, that the risky investments that crippled
the economy are fair game in the future. After all, if banks fail and teeter
at the edge of collapse, the government promises to be there with a
taxpayer-funded, potentially profitable safety net.
The handling of the bailout makes at least one
thing clear, however. It's not your health that the government is focused
on, it's theirs-- the very banks and lenders whose convoluted financial
systems provided the underpinnings for staggering salaries and bonuses,
while bringing our economy to the brink of another Great Depression.
Bob Jensen's threads on why the infamous "Bailout" won't work ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/2008Bailout.htm#BailoutStupidity
Students have
graduated,
earned law credit, and
held debates on Second Life. Now some universities
are using the virtual world to train nurses.
Virtual medical training is nothing new — medical
students have used CD-ROM’s and other interactive
programs to practice diagnosis for years. And MyCaseSpace, a virtual
medical-training program
created by a professor at the University of Central Florida,
will allow professors to create simulated cases to
test students at Central Florida’s College of Medicine this fall.
What makes the Second Life approach different,
according to
an article in Discover magazine, is its
ability to call on real-life participants, giving students access to
professors or volunteers who act as patients, as well as a range of medical
experts who teach or practice at colleges and universities across the
country.
Students can interact with the patients and
doctors, order tests, diagnose problems, and recommend treatment, according
to the article.
For example, a professor at San Jose State
University created a
Heart Murmur Sim,
which uses real cardiac sounds to train students to listen to a patient’s
chest — called a cardiac auscultation exam — and identify heart murmurs, the
article said.
Another program is the
Nursing Education Simulation, created earlier this
year by a nursing instructor in Washington. The program requires students to
wear a headset with a display, like pilots use, to “monitor” and “use”
defibrillators, IV pumps, and medication to treat a computer-generated
patient who is experiencing certain symptoms.
While no studies have emerged about the benefits of
using Second Life to train medical students, it offers a richer set of
resources, with lower costs, than training in a physical, simulated
operating room, said John Lester, an education and health-care market
developer at
Linden Lab, the company that created Second Life.
“If there’s an expert in Brussels who is a
specialist in a procedure that I want to teach my students, I can bring him
or her into the virtual space to train them,” Mr. Lester said in the
article. “Moving around in the physical world is expensive and the biggest
obstacle in medical training.”
Jensen Comment
The University of Central Florida in mentioned above. At UCF our Second Life
expert in accounting education is Steve Hornik ---
http://www.bus.ucf.edu/shornik/
Second Life Video Tutorials ---
http://wiki.secondlife.com/wiki/Video_Tutorials
Bob Jensen's threads on virtual reality
learning and Second Life are at
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/000aaa/thetools.htm#SecondLife
Blackboard Learns of Many Serious Customer Gripes
At an open "listening session" with top executives
of Blackboard here Wednesday at the company's annual conference, college
officials expressed frustration with many of the system's fundamental
characteristics. At times, the meeting seemed to turn into a communal gripe
session, with complaints ranging from the system's discussion forum application,
to the improved -- but still lacking -- user support, to the training materials
for faculty members. Participants' concerns were often greeted with nods of
agreement and outright applause from their peers as they spoke of their
frustrations with the system.
Ben Eisen, "A Gripe Session at
Blackboard," Inside Higher Ed, July 16, 2009 ---
http://www.insidehighered.com/news/2009/07/16/blackboard
Bob Jensen's threads on the frustrating Blackboard monopoly and its claim
to rights to virtually all distance education ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Blackboard.htm
Jensen Comment
Blackboard should've never been allowed by anti-trust officials to buy out WebCT.
Nor should it have been granted the vague patent that worries the whole distance
education world.
STMs = Science, Technical, Medical Top
Academic Journals
HSSs = Humanities, Social Science Top Academic Journals
Questions
Is the acceptance rate among STMs higher of lower than HSSs?
Is the acceptance rate higher or lower in The Accounting Review relative
to STMs and HSSs?
Is the cost per article higher or lower in STMs than in HSSs?
Will eliminating hard copy publishing significantly reduce the costs of leading
journal publishing?
"Humanities
Journals Cost Much More to Publish Than Science Periodicals," by Jennifer
Howard, Chronicle of Higher Education, July 20, 2009 ---
http://chronicle.com/daily/2009/07/22265n.htm?utm_source=at&utm_medium=en
It costs more than three times as much to publish
an article in a humanities or social-science journal as it does to publish
one in a science, technical, or medical, or STM, journal, and the prevailing
model used by many publishers of STM journals will not work for their
humanities and social-sciences counterparts. Those are some of the
eye-opening conclusions released today in a report on an in-depth study of
eight flagship journals in the humanities and social sciences.
The report, "The Future of Scholarly Journals
Publishing Among Social Science and Humanities Associations," was conducted
by Mary Waltham, an independent publishing consultant, at the request of a
committee organized by the National Humanities Alliance in 2007. The panel
was charged with trying to understand how the rapid evolution of scholarly
communication, particularly the rise of open access, will affect the
alliance's members, many of which are scholarly societies that rely on
traditional subscription models to run their publishing operations. "It was
high time we did our homework," said William E. Davis, chairman of the
committee and executive director of the American Anthropological
Association.
With money from a grant by the Andrew W. Mellon
Foundation, the patron saint of many recent attempts to diagnose and remedy
what ails scholarly publishing, Ms. Waltham took a close look at the data
for flagship journals from eight leading societies for the years 2005 to
2007. The participating associations included Mr. Davis's group, the
American Academy of Religion, the American Economic Association, the
American Historical Association, the American Political Science Association,
the American Sociological Association, the American Statistical Association,
and the Modern Language Association.
If eight journals don't sound like much of a
sample, consider that the group includes some of the most prominent
publications in major humanities and social-sciences disciplines: The
American Historical Review and the American Political Science Review,
for instance.
Even learned-society publishers in the humanities
and social sciences may be taken aback by just how expensive it is to
publish an article in their fields. It cost an average of $9,994 in 2007 to
publish an article in one of the eight journals analyzed, compared with an
average of $2,670 for STM journal articles.
Difference in Acceptance Rates
That STM figure comes from a study done by Ms.
Waltham in 2005 of publishing models that learned societies used for science
and medical journals. According to the new report, humanities and
social-sciences articles tend to be longer and to have a lower acceptance
rate. The average article length in the eight journals surveyed is 19 pages;
the STM average is 12 pages. Acceptance rates are much lower on the
humanities and social-sciences side; the eight journals in question accepted
about 11 percent of the articles submitted to them, while their STM
counterparts' acceptance rate hovered around 42 percent.
All of that adds up to "significantly higher costs
per peer-reviewed, published article" for humanities and social-sciences
journals, the committee concluded in an overview released with the report.
"The cost per article of publishing in the
humanities and social sciences appears to be almost four times the cost of
publishing in the STM field," Mr. Davis said in an interview. "That creates
a very different dynamic for figuring out models to support our programs."
One model not likely to provide that support is the
"author-pays" approach, in which scholars come up with money to help
journals cover the costs of publishing their articles. That template works
well enough in STM fields, in which grant money is easier to come by—not the
case in the chronically underfunded fields covered by the study. "Authors in
the STM field have ways of financing the publication of their articles that
authors in the humanities and social sciences simply do not have," Mr. Davis
told The Chronicle.
The committee also drew attention to a finding that
peer-reviewed research made up about 62 percent of what the eight journals
published in 2007. The remaining 38 percent consisted of "other scholarly
content," including book reviews. That content is "as vital to the system of
scholarly communication" in the humanities and social sciences as
peer-reviewed articles are, the committee said.
Such material does not come cheap, though; it must
still be commissioned, edited, and put into production. It cost an average
of $313,612 per journal in 2007, the study found. Under the author-pays
model, Mr. Davis asked, who foots the bill for that type of content?
The study also appears to undermine the notion that
doing away with print "would make the open-access model financial viable,"
the panel noted. So-called first-copy costs—"collecting, reviewing, editing,
and developing content"—added up to about 47 percent of the total outlay
among the eight journals studied. Abolishing print versions of the journals
would reduce costs, the study found, but not enough. "Even if people were
willing to give up print" in fields such as his, Mr. Davis said, "I still
don't know how to finance my publishing program without some similar source
as I'm now getting from my subscriber base."
Does that mean that the scholarly associations that
participated in the study reject the idea of open access? Not at all, Mr.
Davis said. Instead, the findings are "pointing us away from author-pays
open access" toward figuring out what other open-access models could work
for humanities and social-sciences journals. That's the next step. Will
learned societies that publish such journals figure out how to take that
step? "We will," Mr. Davis said, "because we have to."
The National Humanities Alliance will post the
report on its
Web site as soon as possible, Mr. Davis said.
Jensen Comment
No mention is made of the impacts of rising postal rates on global
subscriptions. When I was on the Executive Committee of the American Accounting
Association in the 1980s, rising postal rates for sending our three leading
journals to all members was eating away at our budgets. This combined with
declining membership gave rise to dues increases. In later years the AAA
introduced alternatives where members could choose which journals they wanted
and whether they wanted to pay the added cost for a mailed hard copy edition of
each journal. Even though the AAA now has an option for choosing only electronic
versions downloaded over the Internet, it still incurs the cost of hard copy
publishing. The AAA does not rip off libraries with dual subscription pricing
like many leading academic journals are ripping off libraries.
The acceptance rate of The Accounting Review annually ranges between
11% and 20% ---
http://www.publishnotperish.org/module2/documents/Cabellssample.pdf
Some of the other AAA journals occasionally have lower acceptance rates, but I
think this is partly due to occasional authors naively thinking they might have
a better chance of getting an article published in one of the the other
journals.
TAR acceptance rates would be lower if editors factored in
the papers that they send back with excuses for not even having the submissions
refereed. Sometimes the submissions are not deemed appropriate for TAR and
should not always be viewed as rejections in the same sense that a refereed
paper has been rejected. Sometimes the editor deems them too stupid to referee.
Bob Jensen's threads on open source learning are at
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/000aaa/updateee.htm#OKI
Barf: Stupid and Naive SMU Decision to Take Computers Out of
Classrooms
"When Computers Leave Classrooms, So Does Boredom," by Jeffrey R. Young,
Chronicle of Higher Education, July 24, 2009 ---
http://chronicle.com/free/v55/i42/42a00103.htm?utm_source=at&utm_medium=en
College leaders usually brag about their
tech-filled "smart" classrooms, but a dean at Southern Methodist University
is proudly removing computers from lecture halls. José A. Bowen, dean of the
Meadows School of the Arts, has challenged his colleagues to "teach naked" —
by which he means, sans machines.
More than anything else, Mr. Bowen wants to
discourage professors from using PowerPoint, because they often lean on the
slide-display program as a crutch rather using it as a creative tool. Class
time should be reserved for discussion, he contends, especially now that
students can download lectures online and find libraries of information on
the Web. When students reflect on their college years later in life, they're
going to remember challenging debates and talks with their professors.
Lively interactions are what teaching is all about, he says, but those
give-and-takes are discouraged by preset collections of slides.
He's not the only one raising questions about
PowerPoint, which on many campuses is the state of the art in classroom
teaching. A study published in the April issue of British Educational
Research Journal found that 59 percent of students in a new survey reported
that at least half of their lectures were boring, and that PowerPoint was
one of the dullest methods they saw. The survey consisted of 211 students at
a university in England and was conducted by researchers at the University
of Central Lancashire.
Students in the survey gave low marks not just to
PowerPoint, but also to all kinds of computer-assisted classroom activities,
even interactive exercises in computer labs. "The least boring teaching
methods were found to be seminars, practical sessions, and group
discussions," said the report. In other words, tech-free classrooms were the
most engaging.
It's worth pointing out that PowerPoint
presentations are generally better than many older classroom technologies,
like slate chalkboards or overhead transparencies filled with hand-scrawled
notes that students struggled to decipher. So computers have probably led to
a slight improvement in teaching. But technology has hardly revolutionized
the classroom experience for most college students, despite millions of
dollars in investment and early predictions that going digital would force
professors to rethink their lectures and would herald a pedagogical
renaissance.
Mr. Bowen is part of a group of college leaders who
haven't given up on that dream of shaking up college instruction. Even
though he is taking computers out of classrooms, he's not anti-technology.
He just thinks they should be used differently — upending the traditional
lecture model in the process.
Here's the kicker, though: The biggest resistance
to Mr. Bowen's ideas has come from students, some of whom have groused about
taking a more active role during those 50-minute class periods. The lecture
model is pretty comfortable for both students and professors, after all, and
so fundamental change may be even harder than it initially seems, whether or
not laptops, iPods, or other cool gadgets are thrown into the mix.
No Power in PowerPoint
Mr. Bowen delivers his pitch about "teaching naked"
with the energy and confidence of a seasoned performer, which makes sense
when you learn he has been on stage as a jazz musician for some 30 years.
The administrator sported a suit jacket over a dark T-shirt while giving a
recent talk about his approach at a conference on "Emerging Technology
Applications for Online Learning" put on by the Sloan Consortium, a
nonprofit group that encourages technology use in education.
Although he made a philosophical argument about the
best way to engage students, he grounded it in his own classroom experiences
using podcasts and video games about jazz history that he helped produce. He
did not use PowerPoint, but he did use his laptop to show off one of his
games, which lets students pick famous jazz musicians to play in a fictional
supergroup.
His philosophy is that the information delivery
common in today's classroom lectures should be recorded and delivered to
students as podcasts or online videos before class sessions. To make sure
students tune in, he gives them short online multiple-choice tests.
So what's left to do during class once you've
delivered your lecture? Introduce issues of debate within the discipline and
get the students to weigh in based on the knowledge they have from those
lecture podcasts, Mr. Bowen says. "If you say to a student, We have this
problem in Mayan archaeology: We don't know if the answer is A or B. We used
to all think it was A, now we think it's B. If the lecture is 'Here's the
answer, it's B,' that's not very interesting. But if the student believes
they can contribute, they're a whole lot more motivated to enter the
discourse, and to enter the discipline."
In short, don't be boring.
To help encourage his teaching theories, when Mr.
Bowen arrived at Southern Methodist three years ago to become dean of its
arts school, he decided to make some structural changes in 20 or so main
classrooms.
He says most of those classrooms had two computers
(a Mac and a PC), a DVD player, a VCR, and a tape deck, along with "one of
those complicated control panels where you need a Ph.D. to figure it out."
Last summer Mr. Bowen had most of that gear removed
— though he left in projectors so that professors could plug in their
laptops and do PowerPoint presentations, if they must. He also took out the
old desks and replaced them with tables and chairs that professors could
move around to allow students to work in groups more easily.
One reason for the changes was financial. The
classroom computers were old and needed an upgrade when Mr. Bowen arrived,
so ditching them instead saved money. Plus, the move cut support costs — the
school was able to eliminate one staff position for a technician who
responded to calls from professors about the classroom systems.
To encourage the kind of technology use Mr. Bowen
did want, the school gave every professor a laptop and set up support so
they could create their own podcasts and videos.
Some professors have complained about lugging their
laptops to class, but others have jumped in with both feet.
One of the fans is Maria A. Dixon, an assistant
professor of applied communication. She's made podcasts for her course on
"Critical Scholarship in Communication" that feature interviews she recorded
with experts in the field. "Before, I was always complaining that I never
had time to go in-depth and talk with my students," she says. "Now they come
in actually much more informed about a subject than they would have if they
had been assigned a reading."
Kevin Heffernan, an associate professor in the
school's division of cinema and television, has also created podcast
lectures — essentially narrated PowerPoint slide shows — for students to
watch before class. During class he shows movie clips from his laptop and
has students discuss them based on the background lectures.
"I don't have to explain to them how film
censorship in America changed in 1968" during his class session on Midnight
Cowboy, says Mr. Heffernan. "They have that information from the online
podcast."
Student Resistance
Most students seem more attentive now, he says,
though a few have been thrown off by the new system.
"Strangely enough, the people who are most
resistant to this model are the students, who are used to being spoon-fed
material that is going to be quote unquote on the test," says Mr. Heffernan.
"Students have been socialized to view the educational process as
essentially passive. The only way we're going to stop that is by radically
refiguring the classroom in precisely the way José wants to do it."
Ms. Dixon has seen similar reactions. "If you've
spent years not speaking, you're going to be ticked off" when you are asked
to participate, she says. "We have to move past that resistance."
The same sequence of events occurred at Miami
University, in Ohio, where Mr. Bowen worked before coming to Southern
Methodist, and which pioneered some of the same teaching strategies.
"Initial response is generally negative until
students start to understand and see how they learn under this new system,"
says Glenn Platt, a professor of marketing at Miami who has published
academic papers about the approach, which he calls the "inverted classroom."
"The first response from students is typically, 'I paid for a college
education and you're not going to lecture?'"
Whatever griping students do about being asked to
participate in class, though, it's better than the boredom induced by a
PowerPoint lecture, say fans of the new approach.
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
I consider the SMU decision to remove computers from lecture halls to be totally
naive and dysfunctional. An analogy would be to block off the Interstate highway
system because Interstate driving is boring and passengers cannot see the
interesting towns and villages the same way drivers in 1935 could see the sights
on the old Lincoln Highway.
What is naive is to assume one style lecture hall fits all.
Instructors can lecture in an electronic classroom without allowing the
computers to be turned on and without using the computer in the front of the
classroom. Instructors in a computerless classroom, however, cannot have a
computer demonstration.
I cannot imagine teaching an Accounting Information Systems Course and
Relational Database Systems without computer demonstrations in the front of a
classroom. I cannot imaging engaging students on how to apply financial
functions in Excel to solve a bond yield amortization problem or any other
problem using discounted cash flows. For certain types of subject matter having
students practice on the computer at various points in the lecture can have
significant impacts on better learning. I found this out in my last two decades
of teaching in electronic classrooms.
Does Dean Bowen honestly think that students do not benefit in certain
lectures when an instructor takes them out live to a Website such as YouTube or
maybe even performs a demonstration on how to more effectively use a search
engine? Does Dean Bowen think that accounting students cannot benefit when an
instructor takes them live into the FASB's Codification database?
Does Dean Bowen honestly think that Professor X's teaching evaluations will
increase without the aid of computer alternatives in a lecture hall? If
Professor X put students to sleep with computer demonstrations, then Professor X
is going to get sounder sleep by "teaching naked."
Use of computers in an electronic classroom is a way of engaging students to
learn more on their own while being guided by the instructor. This is not an
ideal pedagogy for all subject matter or all instructor styles or all student
learning styles, but it is an alternative that is demonstrably better in many,
many instances.
If Dean Bowen really wanted to encourage instructors to experiment with less
use of computers in the classroom, then he should think of creative incentives
to have his faculty experiment with alternative ways to use electronic
classrooms. He should not, however, tear up the Interstate highways because he
personally likes to drive through small town USA.
July 20, 2009 reply from Harry Howe, SUNY Geneseo
[howeh@GENESEO.EDU]
Hi Bob.
It may be significant that
Bowen is dean of a school of arts - while agreeing 100% with your points on
teaching AIS and calculations that can be illustrated with Excel, ppt
lectures are arguably less appropriate for literature & humanities. I
wouldn't go so far as banning the machines - there are always interesting
and on-point visual supplements for any course of inquiry - but pushing
faculty away from using slide lectures as a crutch is probably sound policy
more often than not.
Edward Tufte is not a fan of
ppt:
http://www.wired.com/wired/archive/11.09/ppt2.html
http://www.edwardtufte.com/tufte/books_pp
July 20, 2009 reply from Bob Jensen
Hi Harry,
Luddites like
Dean Bowen equate electronic classrooms with PowerPoint. That's truly naïve.
Your
observations are appealing to a point, but virtually all lecturers in
literally any discipline these days might find value Website modules
inserted into a lecture, especially some of the great learning modules and
humor modules in YouTube.
The point is
that lecturers do not have to use computers in a classroom if they choose
not to do so or are paid $100 by Dean Bowen for each lecture in which they
"stand naked." But this does not justify pulling the computers out of
lecture halls just to force faculty to "stand naked."
Some of my
humanities colleagues at Trinity University make much more use of the
electronic classrooms than the many of our business department faculty who
never saw much need for requesting electronic classrooms on campus.
Across town
(San Antonio) when UTSA built a magnificent new business school building
with state-of-the-art and varied electronic classrooms, there were many
complaints by business faculty that those classrooms did not have overhead
(transparency) projectors from the old classrooms.
Meanwhile many of the humanities instructors at UTSA were drooling over the
business school's new classrooms. An example of such a classroom is a
central classroom where all students can sit surrounded by pods where
students could break out in teams. An instructor could monitor each pod and
interact with the pod computers. What a great team learning facility.
For years I've
preached against PowerPoint lecturing day in and day out, but electronic
classrooms are so much more versatile than PowerPoint technology. A lot of
my usage was to demo Excel and MS Access applications. Students would then
practice what I demonstrated since each one sat in front of a networked
computer that I could monitor from the front of the classroom and even
interact with on my keyboard.
I also used
the electronic classroom very often to show short video modules on
especially technical illustrations such as how to value interest rate swaps
using a Bloomberg Terminal.
Thanks Harry,
Bob Jensen
Bob Jensen's threads on education technology are at
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/000aaa/0000start.htm
Big Brother Really is Watching: Amazon can sneak into your Kindle
and erase your books
Owners of Amazon's Kindle electronic book reader
have received a nasty surprise, after discovering that copies of books by George
Orwell had been deleted from their gadgets without their knowledge. The books -
downloaded from Amazon.com by American Kindle users - were remotely deleted
after what the US company says was a request by the publisher,
MobileReference.com. Amazon refunded the cost of the books, but told affected
customers they could no longer read the books and that the titles were "no
longer available for purchase". "Although a rarity, publishers can decide to
pull their content from the Kindle store,"
Bobbie Johnson, "Amazon Kindle users surprised by 'Big Brother' move,"
The Guardian, July 17, 2009 ---
http://www.guardian.co.uk/technology/2009/jul/17/amazon-kindle-1984
1984 (free) by George Orwell ---
http://www.newspeakdictionary.com/books/1984.html
Animal Farm (free) by George Orwell ---
http://www.newspeakdictionary.com/books/animal.htm
Free electronic books ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/ElectronicLiterature.htm
Bob Jensen's threads on electronic book reading devices are at
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/ebooks.htm
Some interesting sites from Business Week
1.
Education Reform
by BusinessWeek
The phrase "Education Reform" should be the clickable link
http://bx.businessweek.com/education-reform/
The
text following - "by BusinessWeek" - should be plain text (not the clickable
link).
2.
Economic Recovery
by BusinessWeek
The phrase "Economic Recovery"
should be the clickable link
http://bx.businessweek.com/economic-recovery/
The text - "by
BusinessWeek" - should be plain text (not the clickable link).
3.
Unemployment by BusinessWeek
The phrase “Unemployment” should be the clickable link
http://bx.businessweek.com/unemployment/ The text following -
“by BusinessWeek” - should be plain text (not the clickable link).
President Obama's American Graduation Initiative
Some
states and schools are rigging achievement tests to get more money and deceive
the public
Will future college graduates in President Obama's home town be able to read and
divide 37/13?
But they will be college "graduates" if community colleges lower standards like
their K-12 counterparts.
From the Creative Commons on July 15, 2009 ---
http://creativecommons.org/weblog/entry/15818
President Obama announced yesterday
the American Graduation Initiative, a twelve
billion dollar plan to reform U.S. community colleges. The initiative calls
for five million additional community college graduates by 2020, and plans
that “increase the effectiveness and impact of community colleges, raise
graduation rates, modernize facilities, and create new online learning
opportunities” to aid this goal.
A significant component of the initiative is the
plan to “create a new online skills laboratory.” From the
fact sheet,
“Online educational software has the potential
to help students learn more in less time than they would with
traditional classroom instruction alone. Interactive software can tailor
instruction to individual students like human tutors do, while
simulations and multimedia software offer experiential learning. Online
instruction can also be a powerful tool for extending learning
opportunities to rural areas or working adults who need to fit their
coursework around families and jobs. New open online courses will create
new routes for students to gain knowledge, skills and credentials. They
will be developed by teams of experts in content knowledge, pedagogy,
and technology and made available for modification, adaptation and
sharing. The Departments of Defense, Education, and Labor will work
together to make the courses freely available through one or more
community colleges and the Defense Department’s distributed learning
network, explore ways to award academic credit based upon achievement
rather than class hours, and rigorously evaluate the results.”
It is important to note here the difference between
“open” and simply accessible “online”. Truly open resources for
education are clearly designated as such with a standard license that allows
not only access, but the freedoms to share, adapt, remix, or redistribute
those resources. The educational materials that make up the new open online
courses for this initiative should be open in this manner, especially since
they will result from a government plan. We are excited about this
initiative and hope the license for its educational materials will allow all
of these freedoms. Catherine Casserly, formerly in charge of open
educational resources at the William and Flora Hewlett Foundation (now at
the Carnegie Foundation for the Advancement of Teaching), writes,
“Today at Macomb College, President Barack
Obama announced a proposal to commit $50 million for the development of
open online courses for community colleges as part of the American
Graduation Initiative: Stronger American Skills through Community
Colleges. As proposed, the courses will be freely available for use as
is and for adaption as appropriate for targeted student populations. The
materials will carry a Creative Commons license.”
You can read the official announcement at the White House site on their
blog and visit the briefing room for
the full fact sheet.
Jensen Comment
Given the troublesome fact that 80% of U.S. college graduates seeking jobs could
not find jobs requiring college degrees, there is much more needed that getting
more students in the U.S. to graduate form college.
July 15, 2009 reply from AMY HAAS
[haasfive@MSN.COM]
Excuse me for bringing up an often overlooked
point, but getting students into community colleges is easy. Getting them to
do the college level work needed to graduate is not! As a instructor at an
urban community college for more than 16 years I find that they typical
community college student lacks study skills and or the motivation to
succeed. They will come to class but getting them do actually work outside
the classroom, even with tons of online resources available is often like
"pulling teeth". They do not make the time for it.
Amy Haas
July 15 reply from Flowers, Carol
[cflowers@OCC.CCCD.EDU]
I am in agreement with Amy. This piece that Bob
published implies to me that EVERYONE should have a college education. I
think that is the problem with education. This mentality creates, once
again, entitlement, not motivation. Society has taken the motivation that
individuals once had, away. Why work for it when it, when it can be given to
you! There is an old adage................you can lead a horse to water,
but.......................................!!!
I see this as more tax dollars going to waste. I
have robust epacks and online classes, and do students take advantage of
it.....some do, most "don't have the time" -- they are attempting to carry
full loads at two schools and work a full time job. Maybe, we should be
funding time management and realistic expectations programs.
The two examples I had this Easter, were doing
poorly -- one was carrying two full time jobs and a full school load; the
other, two full time school loads and 1 1/2 work load . Both felt I was
requiring too much and should drop my standards because of their poor time
management. I worked full time and carried 12 units (no social
life).............why not more units or work, because I wanted to be
successful. If school takes longer than 4 years to complete, so be it. I
received no help. My family couldn't afford it, so I realized if I wanted it
I had to do it myself. I think many of us can tell the same story and don't
feel it diminished but enhanced our motivation.
July 15, 2009 reply from Patricia Doherty
[pdoherty@BU.EDU]
The "time" factor is another issue entirely, I
think. Many of my students (at a 4-year private university) also have jobs,
ranging from 10-hour work study to fill time or nearly so, to afford our
astronomical tuition. That's become life. Should there be more options for
them? Yes, I think so. Many of them are very motivated - one of my summer
term students is working full time while attending school ... and has a 4.0
GPA! Her mom is a single parent with limited means, so she has to help
because she wants to be at this school. My own adult daughter is back in
school. Her financial aid is not full tuition. She also works nearly full
time - and remains on the Dean's List. I am meantime trying to figure out
this year where my husband and I will find the money to meet the rest of the
tuition, because I don't want her to have to drop out. So I completely
understand students who are pressed for time because of work obligations.
But the ones who really want to be there find a way to use the resources
available to them to succeed. For the others, the lack of time to use what
you provide is an excuse, nothing more. They need to find a better reason
for not doing well.
July 15, 2009 reply from Ed Scribner
[escribne@NMSU.EDU]
Amy et al.,
I kind of like Zucker’s article that I may have
mentioned before:
http://www.ams.org/notices/199608/comm-zucker.pdf
Ed
Ed Scribner New Mexico State University Las Cruces,
NM, USA
Some states are rigging achievement tests to get more money and deceive
the public
Will future college graduates in President Obama's home town be able to read and
divide 37/13?
But they will be college "graduates" if community colleges lower standards like
their K-12 counterparts.
"Second City Ruse: How states like Illinois rig school tests to hype
phony achievement," The Wall Street Journal, July 18, 2009 ---
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124786847585659969.html#mod=djemEditorialPage
When President Obama chose Arne Duncan to lead the
Education Department, he cited Mr. Duncan's success as head of Chicago's
public school system from 2001 to 2008. But a new education study suggests
that those academic gains aren't what they seemed. The study also helps
explain why big-city education reform is unlikely to occur without school
choice.
Mr. Obama noted in December that "in just seven
years, Arne's boosted elementary test scores here in Chicago from 38% of
students meeting the standard to 67%" and that "the dropout rate has gone
down every year he's been in charge." But according to "Still Left Behind,"
a report by the Civic Committee of the Commercial Club of Chicago, a
majority of Chicago public school students still drop out or fail to
graduate with their class. Moreover, "recent dramatic gains in the reported
number of CPS elementary students who meet standards on state assessments
appear to be due to changes in the tests . . . rather than real improvements
in student learning."
Our point here isn't to pick on Mr. Duncan, but to
illuminate the ease with which tests can give the illusion of achievement.
Under the 2001 No Child Left Behind law, states must test annually in grades
3 through 8 and achieve 100% proficiency by 2014. But the law gives states
wide latitude to craft their own exams and to define math and reading
proficiency. So state tests vary widely in rigor, and some have lowered
passing scores and made other changes that give a false impression of
academic success.
The new Chicago report explains that most of the
improvement in elementary test scores came after the Illinois Standards
Achievement Test was altered in 2006 to comply with NCLB. "State and local
school officials knew that the new test and procedures made it easier for
students throughout the state -- and throughout Chicago -- to obtain higher
marks," says the report.
Chicago students fared much worse on national exams
that weren't designed by state officials. On the 2007 state test, for
example, 71% of Chicago's 8th graders met or exceeded state standards in
math, up from 32% in 2005. But results from the National Assessment of
Educational Progress exam, a federal standardized test sponsored by the
Department of Education, show that only 13% of the city's 8th graders were
proficient in math in 2007. While that was better than 11% in 2005, it
wasn't close to the 39 percentage-point increase reflected on the Illinois
state exam.
In Mr. Duncan's defense, he wasn't responsible for
the new lower standards, which were authorized by state education officials.
In 2006, he responded to a Chicago Tribune editorial headlined, "An 'A' for
Everybody!" by noting (correctly) that "this is the test the state provided;
this is the state standard our students were asked to meet." But this
doesn't change the fact that by defining proficiency downward, states are
setting up children to fail in high school and college. We should add that
we've praised New York City test results that the Thomas B. Fordham
Institute also claims are inflated, but we still favor mayoral control of
New York's schools as a way to break through the bureaucracy and drive more
charter schools.
And speaking of charters, the Chicago study says
they "provide one bright spot in the generally disappointing performance of
Chicago's public schools." The city has 30 charters with 67 campuses serving
30,000 students out of a total public school population of 408,000. Another
13,000 kids are on wait lists because the charters are at capacity, and it's
no mystery why. Last year 91% of charter elementary schools and 88% of
charter high schools had a higher percentage of students meeting or
exceeding state standards than the neighborhood schools that the students
otherwise would have attended.
Similar results have been observed from Los Angeles
to Houston to Harlem. The same kids with the same backgrounds tend to do
better in charter schools, though they typically receive less per-pupil
funding than traditional public schools. In May, the state legislature voted
to increase the cap on Chicago charter schools to 70 from 30, though
Illinois Governor Pat Quinn has yet to sign the bill.
Chicago Mayor Richard Daley deserves credit for
hiring Mr. Duncan, a charter proponent. But in deference to teachers unions
that oppose school choice, Mr. Daley stayed mostly silent during the debate
over the charter cap. That's regrettable, because it's becoming clear that
Chicago's claim of reform success among noncharter schools is phony.
Bob Jensen's threads on assessment are at
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/assess.htm
Bob Jensen's threads on higher education controversies are at
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/HigherEdControversies.htm
Some Jokes Aren't So Funny: Leave it to a lawyer to try to weasel
out of a promised reward
A Florida attorney, Cheney Mason, made the mistake
of offering a million dollars on a TV show to anyone who could prove that his
client, Nelson Ivan Serrano, was able to travel across two states and kill four
people in the time that prosecutors had alleged. Having a lot of free time,
South Texas College of Law graduate Dustin Kolodziej decided to take Mason up on
his dare. Dustin traveled the route prosecutors say Serrano took, completed the
trip under the time allowed, and videotaped the whole process. He is now suing
Mason in the federal district court — because the attorney doesn't want to pay,
saying that his statement was just a joke.
"Lawyer Offers $1M For Proof His Client Could Have Done It; Oops," Slashdot,
July 16, 2009 ---
http://news.slashdot.org/story/09/07/15/2336237/Lawyer-Offers-1M-For-Proof-His-Client-Could-Have-Done-It-Oops
By analogy, this is why corporations selling securities to the public are
required to have independent audits
From MIT
"NY AG: Facelift firm placed bogus online reviews," MIT's Technology Review,
July 14, 2009 ---
http://www.technologyreview.com/wire/23011/?nlid=2182
The online journal gave a chatty account of a
problem-free face lift. "You will never regret it," the patient wrote.
But the seemingly satisfied customer actually was an employee of the firm
behind the Lifestyle Lift, writing as part of a company campaign to plant
plugs for the procedure online, state Attorney General Andrew Cuomo said in
announcing a $300,000 settlement with the company Tuesday.
His office said the settlement appeared to be one of the first to address
so-called astroturf marketing, or creating a bogus grassroots buzz about a
product.
Troy, Mich.-based Lifestyle Lift Inc. said its informational material now
accurately reflects actual patients' comments and is clearly labeled as
coming from the company.
"We want to be acknowledged as a model of integrity and accuracy," company
President Gordon Quick said in a statement.
Widely advertised through television infomercials as a relatively quick and
inexpensive form of face lift, the Lifestyle Lift has been performed on more
than 100,000 people since 2001, according to the company. It's affiliated
with a network of doctors in New York and 21 other states.
The company has aggressively guarded its online reputation. In 2007, it sued
an Arizona man who maintained a consumer-oriented Web site that included
criticisms of Lifestyle Lift, saying the site's use of the procedure's name
infringed on the company's trademark and amounted to false advertising. A
federal judge in Michigan dismissed the case last year, saying the site was
commentary protected by the First Amendment.
But Lifestyle Lift also came up with another new way to fight back: Having
staffers post glowing reviews, comments and testimonials that appeared to
come from clients.
"I need you to devote the day to doing more postings on the Web as a
satisfied client," employees were told in one internal e-mail, according to
the attorney general's office. Another internal message directed a worker to
"put your wig and skirt on and tell them about the great experience you
had."
The disguised workers did that and more, sometimes pushing to get message
boards to remove critical posts and even setting up pro-Lifestyle Lift Web
sites that masqueraded as independent views, Cuomo's office said. The
postings dated back to early 2007, the attorney general's office said.
One such site featured a detailed "journal," stretching from a first
consultation to two months after the procedure, and included photos and an
exhortation to "GO FOR IT." Another supposed first-person account came
complete with the names of the writer's children.
"This company's attempt to generate business by duping consumers was
cynical, manipulative and illegal," Cuomo said in a release. He said the
tactics violated consumer protection laws.
Lifestyle Lift said Tuesday the disputed endorsements were "representative
of" real patients' comments but acknowledged they weren't rendered verbatim
or labeled as coming from the company.
The company, which said it has since changed management, will pay the state
$300,000 in penalties and costs. The settlement came as the attorney
general's office investigated the company's practices, without any
litigation in court.
The Federal Trade Commission is working on revising its nearly 30-year-old
guidelines on the use of testimonials and endorsements to reflect the growth
of online marketing. The review comes amid heightened attention to the role
blogs and Internet comments can now play in a product's fortunes.
In the meantime, the American Advertising Federation, an industry group, has
its own guidelines specifying that testimonials "shall be limited to those
of competent witnesses who are reflecting a real and honest opinion or
experience."
"We think the consumer has the right to know that an advertisement is an
advertisement," spokesman Clark Rector said.
Bob Jensen's threads on professionalism in auditing are at
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Fraud001.htm#Professionalism
CPA auditors will undoubtedly be drawn into the Calpers lawsuit because of
the way auditors went along with absurd underestimations of bad debt and loan
loss reserves. For claims that auditors knew these reserves were badly
underestimated see the citations at
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/2008Bailout.htm#AuditFirms
"Calpers Sues Over Ratings of Securities," by Leslie Wayne, The New
York Times, July 14, 2009 ---
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/07/15/business/15calpers.html
The nation’s
largest public pension fund has filed suit in California state court in
connection with $1 billion in losses that it says were caused by “wildly
inaccurate” credit ratings from the three leading ratings agencies.
The suit from the
California Public Employees Retirement System, or
Calpers, a public fund known for its shareholder
activism, is the latest sign of renewed scrutiny
over the role that credit ratings agencies played in
providing positive reports about risky securities
issued during the subprime boom that have lost
nearly all of their value.
The lawsuit, filed late
last week in California Superior Court in San
Francisco, is focused on a form of debt called
structured investment vehicles, highly complex
packages of securities made up of a variety of
assets, including subprime mortgages. Calpers bought
$1.3 billion of them in 2006; they collapsed in 2007
and 2008.
Calpers maintains that in
giving these packages of securities the agencies’
highest credit rating, the three top ratings
agencies —
Moody’s Investors Service,
Standard & Poor’s and
Fitch — “made negligent
misrepresentation” to the pension fund, which
provides retirement benefits to 1.6 million public
employees in California.
The AAA ratings given by
the agencies “proved to be wildly inaccurate and
unreasonably high,” according to the suit, which
also said that the methods used by the rating
agencies to assess these packages of securities
“were seriously flawed in conception and
incompetently applied.”
Calpers is seeking damages,
but did not specify an amount. Steven Weiss, a
spokesman for McGraw Hill, the parent company of
Standard and Poor’s, said the company could not
comment until it had been served and seen the
complaint.
Moody’s and Fitch did not
respond to a request for comment.
As the Obama administration
considers an overhaul of the
financial regulatory system,
credit rating agencies have
come in for their share of the blame in the recent
market collapse. Critics contend that, rather than
being watchdogs, the agencies stamped high ratings
on many securities linked to subprime mortgages and
other forms of risky debt.
Their approval helped fuel
a boom on Wall Street, which issued billions of
dollars in these securities to investors who were
unaware of their inherent risk. Lawmakers have
conducted hearings and debated whether to impose
stricter regulations on the agencies.
While the lawsuit is not
the first against the credit rating agencies, some
of which face litigation not only from investors in
the securities they rated but from their own
shareholders, too, it does lay out how an investor
as sophisticated as Calpers, which has $173 billion
in assets, could be led astray.
The security packages were
so opaque that only the hedge funds that put them
together — Sigma S.I.V. and Cheyne Capital
Management in London, and Stanfield Capital Partners
in New York — and the ratings agencies knew what the
packages contained. Information about the securities
in these packages was considered proprietary and not
provided to the investors who bought them.
Calpers also criticized
what contends are conflicts of interest by the
rating agencies, which are paid by the companies
issuing the securities — an arrangement that has
come under fire as a disincentive for the agencies
to be vigilant on behalf of investors.
In the case of these
structured investment vehicles, the agencies went
one step further: All three received lucrative fees
for helping to structure the deals and then issued
ratings on the deals they helped create.
Calpers said that the three
agencies were “actively involved” in the creation of
the Cheyne, Stanfield and Sigma securitized packages
that they then gave their top credit ratings. Fees
received by the ratings agencies for helping to
construct these packages would typically range from
$300,000 to $500,000 and up to $1 million for each
deal.
These fees were on top of
the revenue generated by the agencies for their more
traditional work of issuing credit ratings, which in
the case of complex securities like structured
investment vehicles generated higher fees than for
rating simpler securities.
“The ratings agencies no
longer played a passive role but would help the
arrangers structure their deals so that they could
rate them as highly as possible,” according to the
Calpers suit.
The suit also contends that
the ratings agencies continued to publicly promote
structured investment vehicles even while beginning
to downgrade them. Ten days after Moody’s had
downgraded some securitized packages in 2007, it
issued a report titled “Structured Investment
Vehicles: An Oasis of Calm in the Subprime
Maelstrom.”
Where were the auditors?
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/2008Bailout.htm#AuditFirms
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on July 16, 2009
SEC Chief Targets the Credit Raters
by Sarah N.
Lynch
The Wall Street Journal
Jul 16, 2009
Click here to view the full article on WSJ.com
TOPICS: SEC,
Securities and Exchange Commission
SUMMARY: This
review covers two articles on the shake-up at the SEC following the global
financial crisis. The first article discusses SEC Chief Commissioner Mary
Schapiro's statements about requiring liability on credit rating agencies to
improve work quality. The second discusses one of her staff stepping down,
Lori Richards, head of the SEC examinations division, in the wake of the
Madoff scandal.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: Introducing
the work of credit rating agencies, SEC responsibilities, and current
leadership in this governmental organization can be done with this article.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory)
What do Moody's Investors Service and Standard & Poor's Corporation do? How
do they earn money at providing these services?
2. (Advanced)
How did the work of credit rating agencies play a role in the global
financial crisis?
3. (Advanced)
What is meant by the head of the SEC, Mary Schapiro, proposing "liability
standards" to encourage higher quality work on the part of credit-rating
firms?
4. (Introductory)
Refer to the second related article. What major changes have occurred
already at the SEC under Ms. Schapiro's leadership?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
RELATED ARTICLES:
Good Financial Information Matters More Than Ever
by Robert J. Shiller
Oct 09, 2008
Page: A17
Key Official to Exit SEC as Shake-Up Continues
by Kara Scannell
Jul 10, 2009
Online Exclusive
Bob Jensen's threads on the bad behavior of credit ratings agencies see
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/2008Bailout.htm#Sleaze
Where were the auditors?
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/2008Bailout.htm#AuditFirms
One Feature of the Proposed Regulation of OTC Derivatives is Insane
OTC Derivatives Should Be Regulated in Some Respects, But They Should Never Be
Standardized
PwC Notes one of the main reasons (shown in read) at
Click Here
Why should the right balance be struck when it
comes to regulating OTC derivatives?
Some OTC derivatives have been criticized for
contributing to the financial crisis. But new proposals may affect how all
derivatives are traded and designed.
Most financial derivatives have been safely and
prudently used over the years by thousands of companies seeking to manage
specific risks.
OTC derivatives are privately negotiated because
they are often highly customized. They enable businesses to offset nearly
any fi nancial risk exposure, including foreign exchange, interest rate, and
commodity price risks.
Proposals to standardize terms for all OTC
derivatives could inadvertently limit the ability of companies to fully
manage their risks.
Jensen Comment
The reason that it would "limit the ability of companies to fully manage their
risks" is that OTC derivatives are currently very popular hedging contracts
because it is often possible over-the-counter to write customized hedging
contracts that exactly match (in mirror form) the terms of a hedged item
contract or forecasted transaction such that the hedge becomes perfectly
effective over the life of the hedge.
If companies have to hedge with standardized contracts such as futures and
options contracts traded on organized exchange markets it's either impossible or
very difficult to obtain a perfectly matched and effective hedge. For example,
corn futures are traded in contracts of 25,000 bushels for a given grade of
corn. If Frito Lay wants to hedge a forecasted transaction to purchase 237,000
bushels of corn, it can only perfectly hedge 225,000 bu. with five futures
contracts or 250,000 bu. with six futures contracts. Hence it's impossible to
perfectly hedge 237,000 bu. with standardized contracts.
However, if Frito Lay wants to perfectly hedge 237,000 bu. of corn it can
presently enter into one OTC forward contract for 237,000 bu. or an OTC options
contract for 237,000 bu. If the hedged item is eventually purchased in the same
geographic region as the hedging contract (such as Chicago), the hedge should be
perfectly effective at all points in time during the contracted hedging period.
If the hedging contract is written in terms of a Chicago market and the corn
is eventually purchased in a Minneapolis market, then their may be slight
hedging ineffectiveness (due mainly to transportation cost differences between
the two markets), but there is absolutely no mismatch due to quantity (notional)
differences.
Why is customization so important from the standpoint of accounting and
auditing?
Under FAS 133 and IAS 39, hedge accounting relief is available only to the
extent hedges are deemed effective. The ineffective portion of value changes in
the hedging contracts must be posted to current earnings, thereby increasing the
volatility of earnings for unrealized value changes of the hedging contracts.
If new regulations requiring standardization of OTC
derivatives, then the regulations themselves may dictate that many or most
hedging contacts are, at least in part, ineffective. As a result reported
earnings will needlessly fluctuate to a greater extent due to the regulations
rather than because of economic substance. Dumb! Dumb! Dumb!
In particular,
students may want to refer to the hedge accounting ineffectiveness testing
Appendix B Example 7 beginning in Paragraph 144 of
FAS 133 and Appendix A Example 7 beginning in Paragraph 93
of FAS 133. Bob Jensen's extensions and spreadsheet analysis of the Paragraph
144 illustration are available in Excel worksheet file
133ex07a.xls listed at
http://www.cs.trinity.edu/~rjensen/
Sadly, the FASB left both of these examples, along with the other outstanding
Appendix A and B examples out of its sparse handling of accounting for
derivative financial instruments in its Codification Database.
In particular, Examples 1 thru 10 in Appendix B of FAS 133 are the best
places that I know of to learn about hedge accounting and effectiveness testing.
My extended analysis of each example can be found in the 133ex01a.xls thru
133ex10a.xls Excel workbooks at
http://www.cs.trinity.edu/~rjensen/
My students focused heavily on those ten examples to learn about hedge
accounting. They also learned from my videos 133ex05a.wmv and 133ex08a.wmv files
listed at
http://www.cs.trinity.edu/~rjensen/video/acct5341/
Teaching Cases: Hedge Accounting Scenario 1 versus Scenario
2
Two Teaching Cases Involving Southwest Airlines, Hedging, and Hedge
Accounting Controversies ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/caseans/SouthwestAirlinesQuestions.htm
Six in 10 companies plan to skip Windows 7: survey
Six in 10 companies in a survey plan to skip the purchase of
Microsoft Corp's Windows 7 computer operating system, many of them to pinch
pennies and others over concern about compatibility with their existing
applications. Windows 7 will be released October 22, but has already garnered
good reviews, in contrast to its disappointing current version, Windows Vista.
Reuters via The Washington Post, July 13, 2009 ---
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/07/13/AR2009071300583.html?wpisrc=newsletter
Jensen Comment
I find this surprising since Windows Vista has ever so many reported problems
that Windows 7 claims to overcome. Either Windows 7 is predicted to add more
problems than Vista or six out of ten companies are, like me, still on old
Windows XP.
July 13, 2009 reply from David Fordham, James Madison University
[fordhadr@JMU.EDU]
Bob et al:
OR....
it could be that this is another of those faulty
survey reports so prevalent these days whose "conclusions" are screwed up by
the popular press headlines. My personal take on this is that this was one
of those surveys who offered a standard but nonsensical multiple-choice
question such as: "Does your company presently: (a) plan to deploy windows 7
by June 2010, (b) plan to deploy Windows 7 by December 2010, (c) plan to
deploy Windows 7 by December 2011, or (d) have no plans to deploy Windows 7.
The respondents of course work for companies which
have not yet decided when to deploy Windows 7, so they naturally choose the
corresponding answer (d), but the newspaper, again naturally, runs a
headline which claims that they will never deploy Windows 7 -- because this
headline will sell more papers than the headline "6 out of 10 companies
don't know when they will deploy Windows 7 because it still isn't certain
when Windows 7 will become available".
This is a common "flaw" of many, if not most, -- if
not practically all -- surveys I've seen reported in newspapers: "not
presently having plans to deploy it" is not the same as *planning to skip
it*, a nuance seemingly lost on newspaper editors, headline writers, and
reporters.
David Fordham
The Dangling Man (Isaac Rosenfeld)
The writer "will have to play,” said Rosenfeld, “the
role that is not a role; to be the living man, the one left alone at three
o’clock in the morning, when it’s always the dark night of the soul; to be the
man whom one encounters when there is no longer any uniform to wear… to be the
man who is naked, who is alone, and the man who pretty much of the time is
afraid: the man who sees himself as he really is in this flesh and in these
bones and in these feelings, in these impulses, in these emotions; the man who
confronts himself in his dreams and his reveries; the man who sees himself
walking across the street, thinking there but for the grace of God go I, or in
his envy: there but for God’s disdain of me I could have gone…. He has to see
the light and the truth that can be seen even in our phony and artificial age.”
. . . Saul Bellow recalled that his friend, who did graduate work in philosophy
at New York University in the early 1940s, had abandoned that path when he
discovered Herman Melville. After reading Moby Dick, logical positivism seemed
too blinkered a take on the world. Rosenfeld turned into an intellectual
equivalent of Bartleby the Scrivner, saying, “I would prefer not to,” over and
over, as the years slipped past. This was not a good way to live. But then what
is? The question is not rhetorical but real -- the kind that is waiting at three
o’clock in the morning.
Scott McLemee, The Dangling Man (Isaac Rosenfeld)," Inside Higher Ed,
July 15, 2009 ---
http://www.insidehighered.com/views/mclemee/mclemee250
Lessons from Katrina: How to milk the tit of Yankee taxpayers
"Honore: Ex-La. governor halted hospital reopening," by Cain Burdeau,
Google News, July 15, 2009 ---
http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5hGU2Oagz2xa9B-Kt7PrecSEM8hcAD99EE5B00
Weeks after Hurricane Katrina slammed New Orleans
and worsened the medical plight of the city's poor, then-Gov. Kathleen
Blanco said the publicly run Charity Hospital would not reopen, even though
the military had scrubbed the building to medical-ready standards, the
retired Army general who oversaw the work said.
In a recent interview with The Associated Press,
Lt. Gen. Russel Honore said Blanco told him in late September 2005 the
20-story building that served the region's poor residents would not reopen.
"'Ma'am, we got the hospital clean, my people
report ... if you want to use it,'" Honore recalled telling Blanco. "Her
reply to me: 'Well general, we're not going to open it, we're working on a
different plan.'"
Honore's revelation raises questions of whether
state officials used Katrina as an excuse to leverage federal financing for
a new public hospital.
It comes as state and federal officials continue
squabbling over how badly the hospital was really damaged and how much
federal recovery funding should be allocated to it.
The state wants $492 million for a new hospital to
replace the Depression-era building as part of a proposed $1.2 billion
medical complex. The Federal Emergency Management Agency has offered $150
million for repairs. The dispute is on appeal at FEMA headquarters.
Blanco said she could not remember the conversation
with Honore. She said she didn't know the military had scrubbed Charity
until she was contacted by the AP.
But she said Honore's comments struck her as out of
context. "I would not have made that statement because I would not have the
first idea of having other plans for Charity at that moment," Blanco said.
Honore suggested that money, not medical judgment,
was at the heart of the decision.
"This is about business, man," Honore said. "This
is about rich people making more money. This is not about providing health
care."
Keith Twitchell, president of the good-government
Committee for a Better New Orleans/Metropolitan Area Committee, said
"anything he (Honore) says must be given credence," but it seemed improbable
that state officials hatched long-term plans so quickly.
"Two, three weeks after Katrina, it's hard to
imagine anyone at the state level was thinking, 'Oh, boy, this is our chance
to shut down Charity,'" Twitchell said.
Charity's closing forced needy residents to turn to
the few overcrowded, private hospitals still operating, which financially
stressed them.
FEMA also spent more than $90 million to open
temporary facilities, including a hospital in a shopping mall.
In documents filed with FEMA, the state said a
damage assessment was done at Charity within the first two weeks after
Katrina. Citing floodwater in the basement, wind damage to the roof,
widespread mold and human and medical waste, they claimed the hospital was
destroyed.
Blanco said she was told Charity was contaminated
because the air conditioning and heating systems flooded and "affected the
core operations of the entire building."
She said she relied on the advice of Jerry Jones,
director of State Facility Planning and Control, an office that oversees
public buildings. Jones did not return repeated telephone calls seeking
comment.
When the 82nd Airborne Division arrived in the
ravaged city in early September 2005, Charity was identified as key. It was
in the center of town and provided a lot of people care, said the division's
commander, Gen. William Caldwell.
About 150 soldiers and a team of medical
professionals worked to get the hospital running, Caldwell said.
Meanwhile, a German military team's pumps sucked
water out of the basement. Air sampling found no contamination — a concern,
considering the flooding and bodies in the flooded morgue, Caldwell said.
Caldwell recalled telling Honore the hospital was
nearly ready to receive patients. "We were actually thinking of having a
ribbon-cutting ceremony, give a thumbs up and turn it over to the health
care professionals," Caldwell said.
But then, Caldwell said a decision came to stop the
cleanup.
Dr. James Moises, a former Charity emergency room
doctor who helped clean the hospital after Katrina, said Charity was made
useable, and the medical staff was eager to see it back in use.
Moises said state officials used Katrina as an
excuse to close Charity and ask FEMA for the money to build a new medical
complex. Moises said: "It was their orchestrated plan. It was, 'How can we
manipulate the disaster for institutional gains?'"
Analyzing Apple: How Accountants Think
(Since more
often than not prices of shares instantly reflect (impound) public information,
this is not necessarily a recommendation to immediately invest in Apple Corp.)
"How to predict Apple’s gross margins," July 18, 2009 ---
http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2009/07/18/how-to-predict-apples-gross-margins/
Apple’s (AAPL) fiscal third quarter earnings are
due out Tuesday, July 21, and once again the Street is focused on the big
numbers — revenues, earnings and units sold for the Mac, iPhone and iPod.
But savvy analysts will be paying closer attention
to the number that is the best measure of a firm’s profitibilty: gross
margin, expressed as the ratio of profits to revenues. Or
(Revenue – Cost of sales) / Revenue
Apple’s gross margins, which have averaged 34.8%
over the past eight quarters, are the envy of the industry. Dell’s (DELL)
first quarter GM, by contrast, was 17.6% and the company warned Wall Street
last week that it is expecting a “modest decline” next quarter.
In its April earnings call, Apple low-balled its
guidance numbers as usual, forecasting a sharp drop in gross margins over
the next 6 months. Specifically, it warned analysts to expect no better than
33% in Q3 and “about 30%” in Q4.
But Turley Muller, for one, doesn’t buy those
numbers, and he should know.
Muller, who publishes a blog called Financial
Alchemist, is one of a small group of amateur analysts who track Apple
closely and publish quarterly estimates that are as good as — and often
better than — the professionals’. In fact Muller’s earnings estimates for Q2
were the best of the lot, missing the actual results by just one penny (see
here.)
For Q3, he’s expecting Apple to report earnings of
$1.35 per share on revenue of $8.3 billion — far higher than the Street’s
consensus ($1.16 on $8.16 billion).
Why the discrepancy?
“Again the story appears to be gross margin,” he
writes. “Just like last quarter, when Apple blew out the GM number with
36.4% (just as I had predicted) this quarter’s GM (3Q) should be roughly the
same as last quarter.
The secret, he says, is in the profitability of the
iPhone, “which is through the roof.”
“Apple tries to deflect that,” he says, but the
evidence is right there, buried in a chart he found in Apple’s SEC filings
(see below). It shows Apple’s schedule for deferred costs and revenue for
the iPhone and Apple TV, which for legal reasons are spread out over 24
months rather than being recorded at the time of sale. Because Apple TV
revenue is so small relative to the iPhone, this chart is a pretty good
proxy for the iPhone alone.
This is complicated stuff, but the bottom line, as
Muller points out, is that iPhone profitability has been rising to the point
where gross margins on the device are over 50%.
Continued in article
Bob Jensen's investment helpers are at
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/bookbob1.htm#InvestmentHelpers
Garbage Research in Stock Pricing Correlations and Equity Premiums
Seriously that smelly kind of garbage you pay to have hauled away
A new measure of consumption -- garbage -- is more
volatile and more correlated with stocks than the standard measure, NIPA
consumption expenditure. A garbage-based CCAPM matches the U.S. equity premium
with relative risk aversion of 17 versus 81 and evades the joint equity
premium-risk-free rate puzzle. These results carry through to European data. In
a cross section of size, value, and industry portfolios, garbage growth is
priced and drives out NIPA expenditure growth.
Alexi Savov, University of Chicago Booth School of Business. "Asset
Pricing with Garbage, SSRN, February 17, 2009 ---
http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1345470
This is a little like the historic 0.63 correlation between stork nests and
birth rates ---
http://www.jstor.org/pss/2983064
Video: Nassim Taleb Talks About The Book “Dancing With Chance” ---
http://www.simoleonsense.com/nassim-taleb-talks-about-the-book-dancing-with-chance/
Also see
http://www.cnbc.com/id/31706523
Bob Jensen's threads on the EMH are at
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/theory01.htm#EMH
NYC Invests $1 million in Old-Style Typewriters
(now looking for a deal in buggy whips and Cadillac fender fins)|
When we look upon the typewriter, we tend to think of
it as a somewhat romantic, antiquated technology for the English major in us to
write that great mystery novel we've been toying with -- not something we'd
imagine anyone would still be using in a professional setting. Unfortunately for
New York's boys in blue, that's exactly the situation they find themselves in.
According to NY Post, the city has plunked down $982,269 in a contract with New
Jersey-based Swintec to provide thousands of new manual electric typewriters
bound for NYPD offices over the next three years, with another $99,570 going to
a company for maintaining the current lineup. While arrest reports have
thankfully gone the way of computers, property and evidence vouchers continue to
be written up out the old fashioned way, with officers complaining about having
to seek out ribbons when they (often) run dry. In some way, it's kind of
funny... but mostly, it's just sad.
Ross Miller, "NYC keeps ahead of the
curve, invests $1 million into typewriters," Engadget, July 14, 2009 ---
http://www.engadget.com/2009/07/14/nyc-keeps-ahead-of-the-curve-invests-1-million-into-typewriter/
Jensen Comment
Even if instant printing is desired, this investment is absurd. Whenever an
error is made, the typist must haul up a bottle of white-out or an ink erasure.
And it's only possible to digitally store typed pages as pictures at about
10,000 times the cost of computer text storage. Also scanning stored photographs
is very difficult and monumentally ineffective compared with computer text
storage. I think some NYC official must have a girl "friend" who works for or
owns Swintec.
Maybe the NYC Police Dept is trying to encourage officers to write Sam Spade
novels.
July 16, 2009 reply from Peters, James M
[jpeters@NMHU.EDU]
Sorry to be a cranky old man, but this sort of
story usually sets me off. The implication is that NYC made a stupid
decision; typical of governments. However, I would bet money that if you
knew all the details and their rationale, you would find that it was a
logical, and probably low cost, solution to a problem they faced even if it
seems stupid on the surface. Of course, these sorts of stories only fuel the
public's (in my opinion, miss) perception that governments are stupid and
inefficiently run.
Let me cite a concrete example from my personal
history of much bigger proportions. When I was at CMU, I was on a PhD
committee of a major in the air force who did his thesis on the procurement
efficiency of the defense department. Most of your eyes are probably
starting to roll as you think about all the $1,000 toilet seat purchases you
have read about. The student pursued the science in two ways: archival data
on actual purchases and qualitative review of news stories covering things
like purchasing $1,000 toilet seats. Without boring you with the details, in
every case where he reviewed a popular press article, he found that the
article was highly deceptive or just plain wrong and either the item covered
was never purchased or it was purchased as part of a contract where the
government actually saved the tax payers money by paying a high price on one
or two items in exchange for much lower prices on the bulk of the items in
the contract. When he reviewed the archival data, he compared common items
the defense department purchases with for-profit firms. He excluded
specialized equipment for which there was no private sector comparable item
(like recorders in fighter jets that are similar to standard recorders, but
must be hardened). His results were that the defense department's prices
were 18% lower than the best private sector purchaser. His conclusion was
that, stories aside, the defense department has a very efficient and
effective purchase process that saves the taxpayers a bundle over private
sector purchasing departments.
I appreciate that there is a ton of details behind
his research, but, as a member of his committee, I can verify that his
methods were sound and his conclusions well supported.
Now the punch line, he was never able to publish
any of his results because the secretary of the air force blocked it. He was
still an active duty officer and had to follow orders. Why would the
secretary of the air force block publication of solid piece of research that
placed the defense department is such a positive light? Because he was a
George H.W. Bush appointee who wanted to discredit the "bureaucrats" so that
he could push his outsourcing agenda.
This is a true story for which I have first hand
evidence, but it happens all the time and, in my opinion, is a large part of
why Americans have such a negative impression of government, much, in not
most, of which is not deserved.
In America, governments have become such a fun
punching bag and we all tend to pile on, but it has serious social policy
implications. For example, the debate on health care reform includes scare
tactics designed to eliminate any possibility of a government run health
insurance program. Statements like "Do you want a bureaucrat between you and
your doctor?" However, I have about a half a dozen bureaucrats between my
doctor and me now, most of whom are being paid to find ways to deny me
treatment. Hard data show that private health insurance companies spend over
20% of their revenues on overhead and administration while the Medicare
program only spends 3% on overhead. Simple stated, the hard data show that
private health insurance companies are much more wasteful and inefficient
that public ones, but you would never know that from the popular press
articles.
Sad that the truth gets lost in all the fun poked
at our public servants.
Jim Peters
July 16, 2009 reply from Bob Jensen
Hi Jim,
Thanks. It's nice to have some new voices on the
AECM.
I think it would be an interesting course project
for a student team in NYC to write a case on this particular business
decision in the NYC Police Department. Why did they go for electric manual
typewriters in place of cheaper refurbished computers?
Those $1,000 toilet seats for government contracting
result from overhead that the government agreed to pay one way or another.
If a customer went to Wal-Mart and purchased $12.95 toilet seats the
overhead would just be buried somewhere else such that the government may
actually waste that $12.95 added cost for each Wal-Mart toilet seat. The
issue should instead be back flushed up the chain to see why the overhead
itself is a legitimate charge under the contract. The fact that overhead was
arbitrarily allocated between toilet seats, toilets, sinks, tubs, floors,
vanities, and light fixtures is irrelevant.
As far as manual electric typewriters go, it's hard
to envision a benefit-cost justification relative to alternatives today now
that refurbished computers (not necessarily laptops) and printers are so
cheap. I remember having my thesis typed with six carbons where the last
copy was pretty difficult to read. Also every time my typist made a mistake,
she had to make the correction on each of the seven copies --- slow, slow,
slow and messy, messy, messy. Stanford did not accept purple mimeograph
copies.
I racked my brain on what could justify the
expenditure of $1 million for new manual typewriters in 2009. One
possibility is that nursing home across the street. Aged secretaries that
never did learn computers might each pop a couple of Celebrex tablets and
type 60 wpm for the Police Department as a public service.
It's hard for me to believe that a new electric
manual typewriter costs less than a refurbished PC that can probably be
purchased less than $50 bucks each complete with a working small-screen
monitor. One cheap, cheap printer can serve multiple computers.
As far as tech service goes, it's probably harder to
find a typewriter repair technician these days than it is to find a
clockmaker who can repair your antique Swiss watch. But since the Police
Department also uses computers, it must already have service arrangements
for computers. Hence having to add a service arrangement for typewriters
seems like an unnecessary expense.
Another reason for typewriters is security. To my
knowledge there was never a typewriter virus. However, there are subtle
security problems with typewriters. Each key on a typewriter is a little
like a fingerprint such that messages can and often were traced back by
police to the typewriter that typed a key piece of evidence such as an
extortion message.
There also is risk of "shadow memory" of a
typewriter. Computers have shadow memory. When a user erases a criminal
message on a computer, techies can often examine the hard drive and recover
erased messages. The same thing can happen on a typewriter.
I apologize for repeating a message that I share
previously on the AECM about an incident in a university where I worked.
When our Department changed from typewriters to computers, we kept two of
our old IBM Selectric typewriters ---
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/IBM_Selectric_typewriter
One of the typewriters was kept in our office for
purposes of typing addresses on envelopes, which at the time was easier on a
typewriter than it was on our computers since printers were not as versatile
in the early days. The other typewriter was stored in a closet. One of our
professors, Professor X, received permission to take that typewriter to his
home where he typed most of his research papers and private correspondence.
One year we extended an offer to a woman, Professor
Y, to become a tenure track assistant professor of auditing. Before
accepting our offer she received a threatening message that bad things would
happen to her if she accepted our offer. The Campus Police investigated
every computer in our office. Since I was a friend of Professor X, the
police asked me to go to his house and retrieve the borrowed typewriter.
An investigation of the type-key ball of that
typewriter indicated that that typewriter was not used to type the
threatening message. However, the police went a step further looking for the
typewriter's shadow message. IBM Selectric typewriters have a relatively
large ribbon cartridge. When that ribbon was backed up the police found the
threatening message on the ribbon. Professor X had replaced the type-key
ball but neglected to replace the ribbon as well.
Professor Y joined our faculty, and when confronted
with the ribbon of evidence, Professor X resigned.
Hence, typewriters have shadow memory somewhat like
computers.
Bob Jensen
July 17, 2009 reply from
Here's a comment from
http://tech.yahoo.com/blogs/patterson/54529/nyc-invests-nearly-1m-intypewriters/
////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
.....That's the scoop from
the New York Post, which found out that the City of New York signed a
three-year, $982,269 contract last year with Swintec, a New Jersey
office equipment firm that specializes in … you guessed it: manual and
electric typewriters. The city also plans on spending tens of thousands
more in maintenance fees.
....New York City cops are
stuck using typewriters—electric, if they're lucky—to pound out property
and evidence vouchers on
(incredibly) carbon-paper
forms, which are pulled apart to create duplicates. (Other documents,
such as arrest reports, have long since been computerized, the Post
notes.)
.... it's not fair to
blame the cops themselves for burning precious time tapping out paper
reports in triplicate; after all, they're just dealing with the outdated
equipment they've been given. "It's very inconvenient—you have to find
ink, you have to find this, find that,"
one officer told CNN.
...And as far as the NYPD
is concerned, we're not just talking about replacing aging typewriters
with spiffy new computers; the real cost lies in replacing paper-based
filing systems (in this case, for property and evidence vouchers, for
starters) with new, digital ones.
Doing so saves time and
money in the long run, but the initial outlay is always steep—and good
luck snagging the funding from New York's dysfunctional state senate,
which can barely be bothered to keep the NYC subway running.
//////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
So the real story is perhaps
about the capital cost of the systems change and the reluctance of the
politicians to pay for it (no votes in police computer systems)....
Jensen Comment
But millions of people generate tax return forms on their computers and file
their taxes with software that fills in these forms. Why can't the NYPD buy
refurbished computers that will generate the evidence forms and fill them out in
triplicate for hard copy filing?
"BOUNDED RATIONALITY," by Bryan D. Jones, Department of Political
Science, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, Annu. Rev. Polit. Sci.
1999. 2:297–321 ---
http://www.princeton.edu/~smeunier/JonesBounded1.pdf
Video 3: Yale's Robert Shiller (slightly over one hour
of video lecture)
Behavioral Finance: The Role of Psychology ---
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0ZLNbxWH8Lc
Daniel Kahneman - Daniel Kahneman is Eugene Higgins Professor of Psychology and
Professor of Public Affairs Emeritus at Princeton University. He was educated at
The Hebrew University in Jerusalem and obtained his PhD in Berkeley. He taught
at The Hebrew University, at the University of British Columbia and at Berkeley,
and joined the Princeton faculty in 1994, retiring in 2007. He is best known for
his contributions, with his late colleague Amos Tversky, to the psychology of
judgment and decision making, which inspired the development of behavioral
economics in general, and of behavioral finance in particular. This work earned
Kahneman the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2002 and many other honors
"SEC Charges Four With Fraud," by Kathy
Shwiff, The Wall Street Journal, July 15, 2009 ---
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124751046687234157.html#mod=todays_us_money_and_investing
The Securities and Exchange Commission charged
Seattle securities lawyer David Otto, three other individuals and two
companies with conducting a fraudulent "pump-and-dump" scheme in which they
secretly unloaded more than $1 million in "penny stocks" of a company
touting a nonexistent antiaging product.
The complaint says the defendants violated
antifraud and other provisions of federal securities laws. The SEC is
seeking disgorgement and financial penalties.
The agency said misleading news releases and Web
profiles touting beverages and nutritional supplements pushed the stock
price of Seattle-based MitoPharm up more than four times to above $2.30
although MitoPharm's products were in the developmental stage. Two key
products didn't exist, according to the complaint.
The SEC said Mr. Otto sold his shares for more than
$1 million while Houston-based stock promoter Charles Bingham generated
proceeds of $300,000 before heavy selling caused the price to fall to a
nickel by November 2007.
The SEC's complaint, filed in federal court in
Seattle, charges Mr. Otto, associate Todd Van Siclen of Seattle, Mr. Bingham
and his company, Wall Street PR Inc., along with MitoPharm and its chief
executive, Pak Peter Cheung of Vancouver.
Mr. Otto's attorney, Jeff Coopersmith said Mr. Otto
committed no intentional violation of securities law. Mr. Bingham's
attorney, Ronald Kaufman, said his client is as much a victim as any other
shareholder. Mr. Bingham said his firm lost money on the work it did for
MitoPharm, adding he had no way of knowing the products, which were being
manufactured in China, weren't as described. The other defendants couldn't
be reached for comment.
Bob Jensen's threads on securities frauds are
at
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/FraudRotten.htm#SecuritiesFraud
New York's Pretty Young Things Are Turning to Crime
Robin Katz is a "sexy 25-year-old financial planner
working at Chase's Midtown headquarters," according to the New York Post, who
allegedly ripped off a client to the tune of $110,000 so she could spend it
"shopping" and "going out." Katz is a graduate of Smith College, and to judge by
her Facebook friends—who hail from Yale, Harvard, Wellesley, Princeton, the
Phillips Exeter Academy, etc.—she is pretty firmly ensconced in the ranks of
America's elite youth. She certainly seemed pedigreed and trustworthy enough for
her clients to entrust her with hundreds of thousands of dollars. Mistake!
John Cook, Gawker.com, July 21, 2009 ---
Click Here
Bob Jensen's fraud updates are at
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/FraudUpdates.htm
"Megapost & Collection-Edward Chancellor:
Author of, Devil Take The Hindmost," Simoleon Sense, July 14, 2009
---
http://www.simoleonsense.com/edward-chancellor/
(Disclosure most these
articles are free but several require payment…I
recommend paying to read them.
1. The Seven Pillars
Of Folly - By Edward Chancellor -
Click Here To Read The Article
- Excerpt Below
The oil exporters of the Persian Gulf
are flush with cash. Some of that money is going towards
acquiring P&O, the British shipping concern, thus
sparking off the heated controversy over foreign control
of U.S. ports. This has led people to worry that Arab
petrodollars might be scared away from the U.S. In fact,
unlike during the last oil boom of the late 1970s,
relatively little of the current Arab oil surplus has
been directly invested in U.S. assets or even deposited
in the international banking system. This time much of
the oil money has remained at home where a classic
speculative mania is now being played out.
2. Inefficient Markets -
Corporate Eugenics - By Edward Chancellor -
Click Here To Read The Article -
Excerpt Below
It is becoming clear that corruption
at Enron was not confined to the higher echelons, but
was widespread throughout the firm. This corruption
appears to have been engendered by a combination of
overly-demanding profits targets and management’s
practice of weeding out supposedly “underachieving”
employees. Such practices have become commonplace among
America’s top companies. In Enron’s case it seems that
the crooks cooked up the profits, while the honest
objectors were let go.
3. Look Out This Crunch Is
Serious - By Edward Chancellor
-
Click Here To Read The Article - Excerpt
Below
Incipient panic has reigned in U.S.
financial markets over the past couple of weeks, and no
wonder. Some hedge funds have blown up, the country’s
second-largest mortgage lender has come close to
collapse and stocks have fallen. On Friday, the Federal
Reserve Bank lowered a key interest rate to help calm
things down.
4.
Ponzi Nation - By Edward Chancellor -
Click Here To Read The Article - Excerpt
Below
Credit has grown rapidly in recent years.
This expansion has come in many forms, from home
mortgages to newfangled structured products created by
clever financial engineers. There are, broadly speaking,
two views about these developments. The conventional
wisdom — held by most economists and denizens of Wall
Street — is optimistic. Higher rates of credit growth
and increasing levels of leverage, they maintain, are
reasonable in light of increasing economic stability.
An opposing view — held by a miscellaneous bunch,
including some notable investors and Wall Street
observers — holds that the massive buildup of debt
augurs ill. Drawing on the work of a little-known,
deceased economist named Hyman Minsky, the pessimists
contend that the recent calm has induced people to take
on too much risk. “Stability is unstable,” this group
says, quoting Minsky.
5. Ponzi Nation Topples - By
Edward Chancellor -
Click Here To Read The Article - Excerpt
Below
On August 14, David Viniar, the chief
financial officer of Goldman, Sachs & Co., struggled to
explain why two hedge funds managed by his firm had
suffered severe losses during the first few hectic days
of the month. He came up with the rationale that the
markets had been hit by a rare “25 standard deviation
event.” In other words, an occurrence so rare that a
person living since the dawn of time would be lucky to
have witnessed it. The comment was, of course,
far-fetched. History shows that financial crises are as
inevitable as death and taxes.
6.
Stabilizing an Unstable Economy: What Would
Minsky Do? - By Edward
Chancellor -
Click Here To Read The Article - Excerpt
Below
A year or so ago, the work of the late
economist Hyman Minsky was known to only a small band of
devoted followers. All that has changed since the onset
of the current financial crisis. Today, Minsky’s
financial instability hypothesis — the notion that
economic stability encourages behavior on Wall Street
and beyond that renders the financial system
increasingly fragile — is attracting far more attention.
Yet Minsky was interested not only in the buildup to a
crisis but also in how depressions could be avoided and
what measures were necessary to prevent future crises
from occurring.
7.
When the Credit Crunch Comes to Main Street
- By Edward Chancellor -
Click Here To Read The Article - Excerpt
Below
Three centuries ago, the novelist and
sometime tradesman Daniel Defoe described what happened
when credit collapses: “If private Credit falls off, the
Stock, the Trade, and, by Consequence, the Wealth of the
Nation decays.” Modern economists tend to be more
sanguine. As long as prices remain stable and the
financial system continues to function, they see little
lasting damage to the economy from a credit bust.
8.
Spiraling Losses: Lloyd’s Unheeded Lessons -
By Edward Chancellor -
Click Here To Read The Article - Excerpt
Below
In the recent years the business of
lending has converged with that of insurance: Banks can
insure the loans they make against default;
securitization, which allows for risk to be divided up
and parceled out, borrows much from traditional
insurance practices; credit-risk models emulate
actuarial calculations; and the risk premiums on loans
aren’t much different from the policy premiums charged
by conventional insurers.Insurance, like lending, is a
highly cyclical business. When premiums are high and
losses low, capital flows into insurance. But over time
competition drives down policy rates. Premiums decline
to the point where they are insufficient to cover
liabilities. A crisis occurs that can only be resolved
through losses and capital contraction.
9.
Model Failure - By
Edward Chancellor -
Click Here To Read The Article - Excerpt
Below
The Current Credit Crunch is the first
in which mathematical models have played an important
role. Common flaws in risk models link the failure of
rating agencies to predict the level of defaults on
subprime mortgages, the freezing up of the market for
complex debt securities and problems at several dozen
hedge funds and a handful of banks, including the U.K.’s
Northern Rock. We handed over the job of assessing
financial risk to mathematicians and physicists — and
they failed.
10.
Crisis Hazards - By
Edward Chancellor -
Click Here To Read The Article - Excerpt
Below
The governor of the Bank of England has
come under fire from all sides. First, at the onset of
this summer’s credit crunch, he made himself unpopular
by being less accommodating than his peers in Europe and
the U.S. Then, after King agreed to provide emergency
funding to the stricken Northern Rock, Britain’s
fifth-largest mortgage lender was,he was accused of
fostering moral hazard. This assistance inadvertently
sparked the first bank run in England in over a century
11.
Devil’s Dictionary - By
Edward Chancellor -
Click Here To Read The Article - Excerpt
Below
Roughly A Century Ago- the American
writer Ambrose Bierce compiled The Devil’s Dictionary.
In his celebrated lexicon, Bierce displayed a profound
understanding of finance, which he defined as “the art
or science of managing revenues and resources for the
best advantage of the manager.” …Although Wall Street’s
ethos has not changed since Bierce’s time, it is time to
update and enlarge the Devil’s Dictionary of…
12. Part 2 Of
Devil’s Dictionary of Finance -
By Edward Chancellor -
Click Here To Read The Article - Excerpt
Below
M * Mark-to-model:
The use of a mathematical model to value complex
securities. “The combination of precise formulas with
highly imprecise assumptions can be used to establish
practically any value one wishes” (Benjamin Graham).
Useful to investors who wish to delay the recognition of
a loss. See CDOs.
Master limited partnership:
A clever corporate structure favored by private equity
and hedge funds for going public. Provides investors
with few governance safeguards while allowing asset
managers to avoid paying corporate taxes on their
earnings.
13. The Case For Crash - By
Edward Chancellor -
Click Here To Read The Article - Excerpt
Below
Never before in recent history have the
prospects for investors appeared so dismal. This
statement may seem absurd. After all, economies around
the world appear more stable than ever. Stock markets
aren’t so evidently buoyed by irrational exuberance as
they were in the late 1990s. Furthermore, the
alternative-assets revolution has greatly expanded the
range of potential investments. But that’s no comfort
when just about every major asset class is perilously
overvalued.
14.
A Very Private Matter -
By Edward Chancellor -
Click Here To Read The Article - Excerpt
Below
A letter from Stephen Schwarzman,
chairman and chief executive, regarding the proposed
buyout of Blackstone Group June 1, 2012 The Blackstone
Group 345 Park Avenue New York, NY 10154 Dear
Shareholders: I am, together with funds managed by our
Þrm, pleased to propose to acquire, for a purchase price
of $15 in cash per unit, all of the Þrm’s outstanding
common units, representing limited partners’ interests
in Blackstone Group L.P. (the “Group”). We are also
offering to purchase the Chinese government’s minority
stake on the same terms. Our proposal provides a
substantial premium to the current price for all of the
Group’s common unit holders.
15.
Structural Flaws-
By Edward Chancellor
-
Click Here To Read The Article - Excerpt
Below
When banks discovered how to securitize
loans, they inadvertently created a sexy alternative
investment. Looking for an asset that isn’t correlated
to the stock market? Then invest in mezzanine tranches
of collateralized debt obligations. Or better still,
give your money to a credit hedge fund that promises to
produce double-digit returns. Rampant demand for
structured securities has been a boon to bankers,
homeowners and private equity firms. It has also led to
the mispricing of credit risk. But participants in this
brave new world of finance have little cause to worry
about that. Last year some $304 billion of
collateralized debt obligations were issued in the U.S.,
according to Credit Suisse. That represents a 58 percent
increase over the previous year.
16.
Shaky Foundations -
By Edward Chancellor
-
Click Here To Read The Article - Excerpt
Below
Pension funds are looKing for investments
that will perform even when the stock market is doing
badly. They also want long-lived assets to match the
payments they must make in years to come.
Inflation-protected government bonds, especially those
with long durations, fit the bill. The trouble is that
yields on such bonds have declined dramatically in
recent years.
17. Fixated on Friedman
-
By Edward Chancellor
-
C
lick Here To Read The Article - Excerpt
Below
The severity of
the credit crunch has taken the world’s central bankers
by surprise. But they might have foreseen it had they
not been intellectually enslaved by the ideas of the
recently-deceased über-economist, Milton Friedman.
18. A
Sucker’s Rally-
By Edward Chancellor
-
Click Here To Read The Article - Excerpt
Below
Some argue that
the stock market downturn was too shallow
19.
Misplaced US Optimism
-
By Edward Chancellor
-
Click Here To Read The Article - Excerpt
Below
Two months ago, the stock market was telling us that
deflation was on the way and that the US economy would
be leading the world into a global recession. Since then
the market has staged a strong rebound and people are
feeling more optimistic again. My feeling, however, is
that the excesses of the late 1990s bubble have only
partly been dealt with and that until they have properly
worked their way out of the system, the real recovery
will remain elusive.
20. A Golden Age
-
By Edward Chancellor -
Click Here To Read The Article - Excerpt
Below
Over the last 30 years, we have
witnessed runaway inflation, a variety of speculative
bubbles and a succession of currency crises. Is there no
way to escape this mayhem, which spreads its misery from
the day-labourers of Buenos Aires to the pensioners of
New York? In fact, one solution offers itself; an idea
so unpopular that only a handful of cranks nowadays even
dare consider it. In order to rid the global economy of
its chronic instability, we must return to our golden
fetters.
21. Corporate Crisis
-
By Edward Chancellor -
Click Here To Read The Article - Excerpt
Below
Don’t blame the scandals After the
string of corporate scandals in the US, the public is
blaming the destruction of trillions of dollars of
“shareholder value” on the malfeasance of top
management. This is misguided.
22. Perverse Incentives
-
By Edward Chancellor -
Click Here To Read The Article - Excerpt
Below
Shareholder
value and stock options for senior managers have ruled
big business since the 1990s. But they have led to
costly mistakes and endless scandals
23.
Daniel Defoe On RailTrack -
By Edward Chancellor -
Click Here To Read The Article - Excerpt
Below
In last month’s Prospect, Richard
Lambert, the former editor of the Financial Times, asked
why the press had failed to see Enron coming. He
acknowledges that part of the failure lies in the mood
of the times. Unfortunately, he does not go far enough.
It was, after all, a TMT (technology, media and
telecoms) boom, and the Financial Times was at the heart
of it. Just over two years ago, Pearson, owner of the
FT, was applauded by the market for raising hundreds of
millions of pounds to invest in internet ventures:
FT.com was soon followed by FT Marketwatch.com,
FTyourmoney.com, and so on.
24. A Bad Time For Pundits
-
By Edward Chancellor -
Click Here To Read The Article - Excerpt
Below
Bad year for forecasters Like
Christmas trees, economic forecasts should be discarded
early in the new year. Anyone who retains a forecast too
long will find it wilting more rapidly than an ageing
spruce. At times of heightened economic uncertainty,
such as we have recently been living through, forecasts
have even shorter sell-by dates.
25. City Slackers -
By Edward Chancellor -
Click Here To Read The Article - Excerpt
Below
When foreign
financiers stripped London of its snob class, the money
woke up. But to stay slick, the city needs to regain an
old honour system
26.
Alan’s Bubble -
By Edward Chancellor -
C
lick Here To Read The Article - Excerpt
Below
Alan Greenspan,
the second most powerful man in the US, adheres to the
“radical capitalist” of Ayn Rand. But by following
rather than leading the markets he has created a bubble
27.
Millenial Market -
By Edward Chancellor -
Click Here To Read The Article - Excerpt
Below
The stock market was unperturbed and
the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed a point up on
the day of the attack, at 88.63. However, the economy
was suffering from the post-war slump and over the next
12 months shares lost half their value. No one was ever
prosecuted for the “outrage,” as it became known,
although many suspicious-looking foreigners were
arrested in the months and years that followed. As time
passed people’s fears waned, and soon the great bull
market arrived. On the ninth anniversary of the bombing,
the Dow Jones stood at 372, up more…
28.
Tacit
collusion -
By Edward Chancellor -
Click Here To Read The Article - Excerpt
Below
Prisoner’s dilemma at Sotheby’s
Alfred Taubman, the majority shareholder and former
chairman of Sotheby’s, was recently sent to prison for
his part in a conspiracy to fix prices with rival
auctioneer, Christie’s. Sotheby’s former chief
executive, Diana “DeDe” Brooks, was also convicted. The
trial judge accused the two of many failings, including
arrogance, greed and deceit. From a business
perspective, their real crime was stupidity.
29.
Housing
blarney -
By Edward Chancellor -
Click Here To Read The Article - Excerpt
Below
House prices and the planners House
prices are overvalued, say the experts. At least, that’s
what they said last year. In the last 12 months,
however, the average price of a British home has risen
by a further 18 per cent. This doesn’t mean that the
housing bears were wrong. Rather, it is a reflection on
the inefficiency of the housing market, which in this
country might have been designed specifically to provide
an endless cycle of booms and busts.
30. Lessons Of Depression
-
By Edward Chancellor -
Click Here To Read The Article - Excerpt
Below
In a recently published book,
Rethinking the Great Depression, economic historian Gene
Smiley catalogues the errors of both the Federal Reserve
and federal government during the 1930s. In July 1931,
the Fed raised interest rates in order to fulfill its
obligations under the gold standard (despite the fact
that Britain had already abandoned it). Five years
later, prompted by fears of inflation, the Fed doubled
the reserve requirements of its member banks. Both of
these actions were followed by a severe contraction of
the money supply, which induced a further collapse of
the stock market and economy.
31. Technology & Path
Dependency -
By Edward Chancellor -
Click Here To Read The Article - Excerpt
Below
Does the best technology always win
out? Some economists say no. They have argued in recent
years that chance often plays a decisive role in the
adoption of technologies and that advantage normally
goes to the first-movers in a new market. During the
bull market, such views were widely accepted and served
to hype the tech bubble. In more sober times, the same
claims are receiving the scepticism they deserve.
32. The Croupier Takes Too
Much -
By Edward Chancellor -
Click Here To Read The Article - Excerpt
Below
The greatest problem facing equity
investors today is not the bear market or the weakness
of the global economy. Nor has it anything to do with
the possibility of war, high levels of corporate and
consumer indebtedness, or any of the other problems one
reads about regularly in the business pages. The real
problem is the low levels of expected returns for most
stock market investors. This is due primarily to the
high levels of fees extracted by a bloated and parasitic
financial services industry. Charlie Munger, the
right-hand man of Warren Buffett, refers to these fees
as the “croupier’s take.” Let us attempt to gauge its
size.
33.
Shares
have been in a bear market for years. We just haven’t
noticed until now -
By Edward Chancellor -
Click Here To Read The Article - Excerpt
Below
Bear markets are naturally unpopular:
people dislike seeing their investments go up in smoke.
They are also misunderstood. It is commonly believed
that bear markets are short-lived, ending after a few
unpleasant months. That’s true of little bears, but
great bears can hang around for a decade or more. They
are characterised by the savage crushing of investors’
hopes. Most commentators argue that British and US
investors hadn’t until very recently experienced such a
market for more than quarter of a century. Actually, we
are already some years into one.
Plus The Entire Collection Of Edward Chancellor Articles
On BreakingViews
Bob Jensen's threads on the economic crisis
are at
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/2008Bailout.htm
From the Scout Report on July 17, 2009
TheWorld Browser 2.4.1.2 ---
http://www.ioage.com/
In a world with increasingly diverse options for
wandering around the Internet, TheWorld Browser offers a visually
stimulating change from some of the more staid browsers. This version has
some rather nice tool options for blocking ads and also features built-in
mouse gestures to move around pages a bit more smoothly. Additionally, this
version also contains such commonly found features as a "favorites" list and
a download history device. This version is compatible with computers running
Windows XP or Vista.
CheckUp 2.5 ---
http://www.app4mac.com/
If you're concerned about the care and feeding of
your Mac, you may want to check out this handy application. CheckUp 2.5,
which is a multipurpose maintenance utility designed to monitor CPU usage,
disk drive activity, and network adaptors. Users of this application can
view detailed information about all running processes, and also tweak the
application to remind them when certain conditions are met as regards to a
specific resource. This version is compatible with computers running Mac OS
X 10.5 and this is a trial version that can be used at no charge for thirty
days.
Free online textbooks, cases, and tutorials in accounting, finance,
economics, and statistics ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/ElectronicLiterature.htm#Textbooks
The Global Book Project ---
http://globaltext.terry.uga.edu/books
The Global Text Project is further along at this point than I had envisioned.
Another open text project is as follows:
Community College
Open-Textbook Project G
Especially note the open sharing sources being used
The Community
College Open Textbook Project begins this week with a member meeting in
California," by Catherine Rampell, Chronicle of Higher Education, April
29, 2008 ---
Click Here
At the meeting,
representatives of institutions around the country will start reviewing
open-textbook models for “quality, usability, accessibility, and
sustainability,” according to a news release. They will initially review four
providers of free online educational resources:
Connexions,
run by Rice University;
Flat World Knowledge,
a commercial digital-textbook publisher that will begin
offering free textbooks online
next year; the University of
California’s
UC College Prep Online,
which offers Advanced Placement and other courses online; and the
Community College Consortium for Open Educational
Resources,
which was founded by the Foothill-De Anza Community College District and the
League for Innovation in the Community College.
The open-textbook
project was paid for by a $530,000 grant to the Foothill-De Anza Community
College District from the William and Flora Hewlett Foundation.
Bob Jensen's threads on open
sharing are at
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/000aaa/updateee.htm#OKI
Education Tutorials
World Clock and World Facts ---
http://www.poodwaddle.com/worldclock.swf
Edmond J. Safra Foundation Center for Ethics at Harvard University ---
http://www.ethics.harvard.edu/
Understanding Records and Archives: Principles and Practices ---
http://michigan.educommons.net/school-of-information/understanding-records-and-archives
Inspiration: Games Versus Teachers
"Creator of 'The Sims' Talks Educational Gaming," Chronicle of Higher
Education, July 14, 2009 ---
http://chronicle.com/media/video/v55/i41.5/wright/?utm_source=at&utm_medium=en
Introduction to (video) Game Design 2009 ---
http://pod.gscept.com/intro2gd2009.xml
Bob Jensen's threads on networked learning simulations ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/000aaa/thetools.htm#Simulation
Bob Jensen's threads on edutainment and learning games ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/000aaa/thetools.htm#Edutainment
Bob Jensen's threads on virtual worlds in education are at
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/000aaa/thetools.htm#SecondLife
Bob Jensen's threads on general education tutorials are at
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Bookbob2.htm#EducationResearch
Engineering, Science, and Medicine Tutorials
Laboratory Technique Videos ---
http://www.chem.ualberta.ca/~orglabs/Techniques.html
The Agnes Chamberlin Digital Collection (Botony) ---
http://chamberlin.library.utoronto.ca/
Magnetic Resonance Online Texts ---
http://www.ebyte.it/library/refs/MROnlineTexts.html
Bill Gates purchased the rights to lectures by Richard Feynman and has
initially made seven of them available free at
http://research.microsoft.com/apps/tools/tuva/index.html
The catch is that you must install the Microsoft Silverlight browser add on (at
no charge).
Richard Feynman is a very famous physicist ---
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Richard_Feynman
MedlinePlus: Diets ---
http://www.nlm.nih.gov/medlineplus/diets.html
Bob Jensen's threads on free online science,
engineering, and medicine tutorials are at ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Bookbob2.htm#Science
Social Science and Economics Tutorials
Devolution ---
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Devolution
BBC Special Reports: Devolution Decade
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/in_depth/scotland/2009/devolution_decade/default.stm
Psychotherapy Networker ---
http://www.psychotherapynetworker.org/
Bob Jensen's threads on Economics, Anthropology, Social Sciences, and
Philosophy tutorials are at
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Bookbob2.htm#Social
Law and Legal Studies
Edmond J. Safra Foundation Center for Ethics at Harvard University ---
http://www.ethics.harvard.edu/
Ethics Updates ---
http://ethics.sandiego.edu/
Understanding Records and Archives: Principles and Practices ---
http://michigan.educommons.net/school-of-information/understanding-records-and-archives
Bob Jensen's threads on law and legal studies are at
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Bookbob2.htm#Law
Math Tutorials
Bob Jensen's threads on free online mathematics tutorials are at
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Bookbob2.htm#050421Mathematics
History Tutorials
Los Angeles County Museum of Art: Art New Media (multimedia) ---
http://www.lacma.org/art/webindex.aspx
Philadelphia Museum of Art: Conservation ---
http://www.philamuseum.org/conservation/
History of Multiple Topics From War to Cooking
Virginia Tech: Special Collections' Digitized Manuscripts ---
http://spec.lib.vt.edu/mss/pdf/index.html
American History
DuBoisopedia ---
http://www.library.umass.edu/spcoll/duboisopedia/doku.php
Bill Gates purchased the rights to lectures by Richard Feynman and has
initially made seven of them available free at
http://research.microsoft.com/apps/tools/tuva/index.html
The catch is that you must install the Microsoft Silverlight browser add on (at
no charge).
Richard Feynman is a very famous physicist ---
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Richard_Feynman
Understanding Records and Archives: Principles and
Practices ---
http://michigan.educommons.net/school-of-information/understanding-records-and-archives
Devolution ---
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Devolution
BBC Special Reports: Devolution Decade
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/in_depth/scotland/2009/devolution_decade/default.stm
National Book Critics Circle ---
http://bookcritics.org/
Caldwell Lighting: Shedding Light on New York ---
http://www.sil.si.edu/DigitalCollections/Caldwell/
"The Obsolete New York Model:
Where a tax-eating majority votes itself a permanent income," by Myron Magnet,
New York's Tomorrow, July 2009 ---
http://city-journal.org/2009/nytom_taxes.html
Jensen Comment
This is a great and concise historical piece that zings in famous philosophers
and economists. Good work.
From the Scout Report on July 17, 2009
Debates about the content and focus of United States history courses
continue on in Texas The Culture Wars' New Front: U.S. History Classes in
Texas
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124753078523935615.html
Board of Education may face controversy over new curriculum
http://www.beaumontenterprise.com/news/local/50619491.html
Curriculum debate marred by ideologues
http://www.dallasnews.com/sharedcontent/dws/dn/localnews/columnists/jfloyd/stories/071409dnmetfloyd.3d10b0e.html
Texas Education Agency: Social Studies Expert Reviewers [pdf]
http://ritter.tea.state.tx.us/teks/social/experts.html
Smithsonian Source: Resources for Teaching American History [Flash
Player, pdf]
http://www.smithsoniansource.org/
TeachingAmericanHistory [iTunes, Real Player]
http://teachingamericanhistory.org/
Bob Jensen's threads on history tutorials are at
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Bookbob2.htm#History
Also see
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/ElectronicLiterature.htm
Language Tutorials
Bob Jensen's links to language tutorials are at
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Bookbob2.htm#Languages
Music Tutorials
UCSC Electronic Music Studios: Technical Essays
http://arts.ucsc.edu/ems/music/tech_background/tech_background.html
Red Hot Jazz Archive ---
http://www.redhotjazz.com/
Bob Jensen's threads on free music tutorials are at
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Bookbob2.htm#050421Music
Writing Tutorials
Bob Jensen's helpers for writers are at
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Bookbob3.htm#Dictionaries
Updates from WebMD ---
http://www.webmd.com/
July 14,
2009
July 15,
2009
July 16,
2009
July 17,
2009
July
20, 2009
July 21,
2009
World Clock and Medical Facts ---
http://www.poodwaddle.com/worldclock.swf
Radiation Sickness Cure Can't Come Too Soon for the People of Israel
"Cure for radiation sickness found?" Ronen Bergman, Israel News,
July 17, 2009 ---
Exclusive: Dramatic discovery by Jewish-American
scientists could change world; anti-radiation medication proves effective,
safe in tests. Further experiments to be fast tracked, FDA approval possible
within 1-2 years
Medication that can protect humans against nuclear
radiation has been developed by Jewish-American scientists in cooperation
with a researcher and investors from Israel. The full story behind the
dramatic discovery will be published in Yedioth Ahronoth's weekend edition.
The ground-breaking medication, developed by
Professor Andrei Gudkov – Chief Scientific Officer at Cleveland BioLabs -
may have far-reaching implications on the balance of power in the world, as
states capable of providing their citizens with protection against radiation
will enjoy a significant strategic advantage vis-à-vis their rivals.
For Israel, the discovery marks a particularly
dramatic development that could deeply affect the main issue on the defense
establishment's agenda: Protection against a nuclear attack by Iran or
against "dirty bomb" attacks by terror groups.
Gudkov's discovery may also have immense
implications for cancer patients by enabling doctors to better protect
patients against radiation. Should the new medication enable cancer patients
to be treated with more powerful radiation, our ability to fight the disease
could greatly improve.
Dramatic test results The process that led up to
the medical innovation dates back to 2003, when Professor Gudkov came up
with the idea of using protein produced in bacteria found in the intestine
to protect cells from radiation.
. . .
The experiment's results were dramatic: 70% of the
monkeys that did not receive the cure died, while the ones that survived
suffered from the various maladies associated with lethal nuclear radiation.
However, the group that did receive the anti-radiation shot saw almost all
monkeys survive, most of them without any side-effects. The tests showed
that injecting the medication between 24 hours before the exposure to 72
hours following the exposure achieves similar results.
Another test on humans, who were given the drug
without being exposed to radiation, showed that the medication does not have
side-effects and is safe. Prof. Gudkov's company now needs to expand the
safety tests, a process expected to be completed by mid-2010 via a shortened
test track approved for bio-defense drugs. Should experiments continue at
the current rate, the medication is estimated to be approved for use by the
FDA within a year or two.
Continued in article
MedlinePlus: Diets ---
http://www.nlm.nih.gov/medlineplus/diets.html
Psychotherapy Networker ---
http://www.psychotherapynetworker.org/
Forwarded by Auntie Bev
Nothing like a good Bible story to make your day.
How Adam Got Eve
Adam was hanging around the garden of Eden feeling very lonely.
So, God asked him, 'What's wrong with you?'
Adam said he didn't have anyone to talk to.
God said that He was going to make Adam a companion and that it would be a
woman.
He said, 'This pretty lady will gather food for you, she will cook for you,
and when you discover clothing, she will wash them for you
She will always agree with every decision you make and she will not nag you,
and will always be the first to admit she was wrong when you've had a
disagreement.
She will praise you!
She will bear your children and never ask you to get up in the middle of the
night to take care of them.
'She will NEVER have a headache and will freely give you love and passion
whenever you need it.'
Adam asked God, 'What will a woman like this cost?'
'An arm and a leg.'
Then Adam asked, 'What can I get for just a rib
Of course the rest is history............!!!!
Tidbits Archives ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/TidbitsDirectory.htm
Click here to search Bob Jensen's web site if you have key words to enter ---
Search Site.
For example if you want to know what Jensen documents have the term "Enron"
enter the phrase Jensen AND Enron. Another search engine that covers Trinity and
other universities is at
http://www.searchedu.com/
World Clock and World Facts ---
http://www.poodwaddle.com/worldclock.swf
World Clock ---
http://www.peterussell.com/Odds/WorldClock.php
Facts about the earth in real time --- http://www.worldometers.info/
Interesting Online Clock
and Calendar
---
http://home.tiscali.nl/annejan/swf/timeline.swf
Time by Time Zones ---
http://timeticker.com/
Projected Population Growth (it's out of control) ---
http://geography.about.com/od/obtainpopulationdata/a/worldpopulation.htm
Also see
http://users.rcn.com/jkimball.ma.ultranet/BiologyPages/P/Populations.html
Facts about population growth (video) ---
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pMcfrLYDm2U
Projected U.S. Population Growth ---
http://www.carryingcapacity.org/projections75.html
Real time meter of the U.S. cost of the war in Iraq ---
http://www.costofwar.com/
Enter you zip code to get Census Bureau comparisons ---
http://zipskinny.com/
Sure wish there'd be a little good news today.
Three Finance Blogs
Jim Mahar's FinanceProfessor Blog ---
http://financeprofessorblog.blogspot.com/
FinancialRounds Blog ---
http://financialrounds.blogspot.com/
Karen Alpert's FinancialMusings (Australia) ---
http://financemusings.blogspot.com/
Some Accounting Blogs
Paul Pacter's IAS Plus (International
Accounting) ---
http://www.iasplus.com/index.htm
International Association of Accountants News ---
http://www.aia.org.uk/
AccountingEducation.com and Double Entries ---
http://www.accountingeducation.com/
Gerald Trites'eBusiness and
XBRL Blogs ---
http://www.zorba.ca/
AccountingWeb ---
http://www.accountingweb.com/
SmartPros ---
http://www.smartpros.com/
Bob Jensen's Sort-of Blogs ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/JensenBlogs.htm
Current and past editions of my newsletter called New
Bookmarks ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/bookurl.htm
Current and past editions of my newsletter called
Tidbits ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/TidbitsDirectory.htm
Current and past editions of my newsletter called Fraud
Updates ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/FraudUpdates.htm
Online Books, Poems, References,
and Other Literature
In the past I've provided links to various types electronic literature available
free on the Web.
I created a page that summarizes those various links ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/ElectronicLiterature.htm
The Master List of Free
Online College Courses ---
http://universitiesandcolleges.org/
Shared Open Courseware
(OCW) from Around the World: OKI, MIT, Rice, Berkeley, Yale, and Other Sharing
Universities ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/000aaa/updateee.htm#OKI
Free Textbooks and Cases ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/ElectronicLiterature.htm#Textbooks
Free Mathematics and Statistics Tutorials ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Bookbob2.htm#050421Mathematics
Free Science and Medicine Tutorials ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Bookbob2.htm#Science
Free Social Science and Philosophy Tutorials ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Bookbob2.htm#Social
Free Education Discipline Tutorials ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Bookbob2.htm
Teaching Materials (especially
video) from PBS
Teacher Source: Arts and
Literature ---
http://www.pbs.org/teachersource/arts_lit.htm
Teacher Source: Health & Fitness
---
http://www.pbs.org/teachersource/health.htm
Teacher Source: Math ---
http://www.pbs.org/teachersource/math.htm
Teacher Source: Science ---
http://www.pbs.org/teachersource/sci_tech.htm
Teacher Source: PreK2 ---
http://www.pbs.org/teachersource/prek2.htm
Teacher Source: Library Media ---
http://www.pbs.org/teachersource/library.htm
Free Education and
Research Videos from Harvard University ---
http://athome.harvard.edu/archive/archive.asp
VYOM eBooks Directory ---
http://www.vyomebooks.com/
From Princeton Online
The Incredible Art Department ---
http://www.princetonol.com/groups/iad/
Online Mathematics Textbooks ---
http://www.math.gatech.edu/~cain/textbooks/onlinebooks.html
National Library of Virtual Manipulatives ---
http://enlvm.usu.edu/ma/nav/doc/intro.jsp
Moodle ---
http://moodle.org/
The word moodle is an acronym for "modular
object-oriented dynamic learning environment", which is quite a mouthful.
The Scout Report stated the following about Moodle 1.7. It is a
tremendously helpful opens-source e-learning platform. With Moodle,
educators can create a wide range of online courses with features that
include forums, quizzes, blogs, wikis, chat rooms, and surveys. On the
Moodle website, visitors can also learn about other features and read about
recent updates to the program. This application is compatible with computers
running Windows 98 and newer or Mac OS X and newer.
Some of Bob Jensen's Tutorials
Accounting program news items for colleges are posted at
http://www.accountingweb.com/news/college_news.html
Sometimes the news items provide links to teaching resources for accounting
educators.
Any college may post a news item.
Accountancy Discussion ListServs:
For an elaboration on the reasons you should join a
ListServ (usually for free) go to http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/ListServRoles.htm
AECM (Educators)
http://pacioli.loyola.edu/aecm/
AECM is an email Listserv list which
provides a forum for discussions of all hardware and software
which can be useful in any way for accounting education at the
college/university level. Hardware includes all platforms and
peripherals. Software includes spreadsheets, practice sets,
multimedia authoring and presentation packages, data base
programs, tax packages, World Wide Web applications, etc
Roles of a ListServ ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/ListServRoles.htm
|
CPAS-L (Practitioners)
http://pacioli.loyola.edu/cpas-l/
CPAS-L provides a forum for discussions of
all aspects of the practice of accounting. It provides an
unmoderated environment where issues, questions, comments,
ideas, etc. related to accounting can be freely discussed.
Members are welcome to take an active role by posting to CPAS-L
or an inactive role by just monitoring the list. You qualify for
a free subscription if you are either a CPA or a professional
accountant in public accounting, private industry, government or
education. Others will be denied access. |
Yahoo
(Practitioners)
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/xyztalk
This forum is for CPAs to discuss the activities of the AICPA.
This can be anything from the CPA2BIZ portal to the XYZ
initiative or anything else that relates to the AICPA. |
AccountantsWorld
http://accountantsworld.com/forums/default.asp?scope=1
This site hosts various discussion groups on such topics as
accounting software, consulting, financial planning, fixed
assets, payroll, human resources, profit on the Internet, and
taxation. |
Business Valuation
Group
BusValGroup-subscribe@topica.com
This discussion group is headed by Randy Schostag
[RSchostag@BUSVALGROUP.COM] |
Many useful accounting sites (scroll down) ---
http://www.iasplus.com/links/links.htm
Professor Robert E. Jensen (Bob)
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen
190 Sunset Hill Road
Sugar Hill, NH 03586
Phone: 603-823-8482
Email:
rjensen@trinity.edu